TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139924
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911311––––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 54.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 17–41 Grzegorz Felkel Jan Zandecki has won 17 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-41 in 58
Felkel
Correct
gap of 24 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1902 vs Felkel 1849
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Felkel 40%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Felkel 30%
Zandecki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki -1 · Felkel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 2.10 / Felkel 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Felkel)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13139924
Zandecki2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Felkel1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 220 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it93% 118 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it78% 159 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki4wins
AwayFelkel6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki37.5%3 of 8
AwayFelkeln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki8Felkel2n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S2Zandecki3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S3Zandecki2Felkel8n = 10Felkel took 8 of 10
S4Zandecki5Felkel3n = 8Zandecki took 5 of 8
S5Zandecki2Felkel3n = 5Felkel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiFelkelZ − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.741.4−2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 839 vs 700 / 117455.5%59.6%466 / 839 vs 700 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelZandecki 2.10/Felkel 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 03:00J. Zandecki291111341G. Felkel4051311113
WJul 30 · 05:15J. Zandecki3911116113G. Felkel29491151
LJul 13 · 11:15J. Zandecki2461170G. Felkel351113113
WJul 13 · 03:00J. Zandecki39211211133G. Felkel48117118112
LJun 29 · 13:20J. Zandecki4611871372G. Felkel528111111113
WJun 29 · 06:30J. Zandecki481141111113G. Felkel4691161372
WJun 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki331111113G. Felkel122820
LJun 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki4211751182G. Felkel50811119113
LMay 11 · 15:10J. Zandecki52137613132G. Felkel5911111111153
LMay 11 · 04:00J. Zandecki351110591G. Felkel4391211113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101LSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661WSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113
G. Felkel10
LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:30M. Jadczyk2.001111113G. Felkel1.738760LSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:35G. Felkel1.4421491142K. Wloczko2.631112115113LSep 16 · 12:55G. Felkel1.83791141M. Jadczyk1.8311115113LSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113WSep 16 · 10:00G. Felkel1.44111197113M. Miastowski2.6395111172LSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel1.4431011141J. Kuzmicz2.6311129163
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