TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145962
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1141214611611––
Damian Wederlich
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Damian Wederlich below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 18–20 Damian Wederlich Jan Zandecki has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:59What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-20 in 38
Wederlich
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1893 vs Wederlich 1965
Wederlich
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Wederlich 100%
Wederlich
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 50% vs Wederlich 80%
Wederlich
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +1 · Wederlich +8
Wederlich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wederlich form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.80 / Wederlich 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zandecki)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13145962
Zandecki1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 110 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Wederlich1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki5wins
AwayWederlich5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki71.4%5 of 7
AwayWederlich100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki7Wederlich3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Zandecki6Wederlich4n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Zandecki5Wederlich4n = 9Zandecki took 5 of 9
S4Zandecki3Wederlich4n = 7Wederlich took 4 of 7
S5Zandecki0Wederlich3n = 3Wederlich took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiWederlichZ − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 843 vs 89 / 15155.6%58.9%469 / 843 vs 89 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.80/Wederlich 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 22 · 14:30J. Zandecki2147100D. Wederlich341111123
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Zandecki4511811153D. Wederlich348112131
LAug 17 · 10:25J. Zandecki4612116892D. Wederlich461031111113
WAug 17 · 06:40J. Zandecki331111113D. Wederlich188640
LAug 9 · 05:05J. Zandecki49811117122D. Wederlich51117811143
WMay 30 · 14:50J. Zandecki45111112113D. Wederlich34671471
LMay 30 · 10:05J. Zandecki33771181D. Wederlich3911116113
LMay 29 · 13:55J. Zandecki4011411592D. Wederlich47711711113
WMay 29 · 04:00J. Zandecki3911116113D. Wederlich30951151
J. Zandecki10
LSep 18 · 04:10A. Grela1.9171111113J. Zandecki1.80117361WSep 18 · 03:25J. Zandecki1.731112163J. Kosowski2.00710140LSep 17 · 14:35J. Zandecki1.801389101J. Kosowski1.91111111123LSep 17 · 12:55J. Zandecki1.7351111962A. Grela2.00115911113WSep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.501113113K. Wloczko2.5091160WSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101LSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113LSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661WSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113
D. Wederlich10
WSep 18 · 04:30M. Olejnik2.00711871D. Wederlich1.7311311113WSep 18 · 03:00A. Grela2.1072100D. Wederlich1.671111123WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
D. Wederlich
Sep 18 · 07:20D. Wederlich2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 08:05D. Wederlich1.36J. Kuzmicz3.00—Sep 18 · 10:50D. Wederlich2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 12:05D. Wederlich—J. Stecyszyn——Sep 18 · 12:55D. Wederlich1.36J. Kuzmicz3.00—Sep 18 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich1.91J. Zandecki1.80—
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