TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139875
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13118119111012––
Jakub Kosowski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 85 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 26–21 Jakub Kosowski Jakub Kosowski has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Kosowski beat Zandecki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:46What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-21 in 47
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1890 vs Kosowski 1879
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Kosowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Kosowski 40%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki -1 · Kosowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.80 / Kosowski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zandecki)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13139875
Zandecki1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 110 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Kosowski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki4wins
AwayKosowski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki66.7%2 of 3
AwayKosowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Zandecki7Kosowski3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Zandecki7Kosowski3n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Zandecki2Kosowski6n = 8Kosowski took 6 of 8
S5Zandecki2Kosowski3n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiKosowskiZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.5−0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 844 vs 723 / 122755.6%58.9%469 / 844 vs 723 / 1227Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.80/Kosowski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:30J. Zandecki30711661J. Kosowski4211911113
WAug 25 · 11:15J. Zandecki48781111113J. Kosowski4211116862
LAug 25 · 03:00J. Zandecki541011141182J. Kosowski561281213113
LAug 24 · 12:05J. Zandecki411581081J. Kosowski47131112113
WAug 24 · 03:25J. Zandecki331111113J. Kosowski228770
LAug 15 · 06:30J. Zandecki3981111362J. Kosowski41116211113
WAug 6 · 14:10J. Zandecki331111113J. Kosowski226970
LAug 6 · 07:20J. Zandecki361181341J. Kosowski46131111113
WAug 5 · 13:20J. Zandecki41311511113J. Kosowski3811811622
LAug 5 · 07:45J. Zandecki4781111982J. Kosowski49118811113
J. Zandecki10
LSep 17 · 12:55J. Zandecki1.7351111962A. Grela2.00115911113WSep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.501113113K. Wloczko2.5091160WSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101LSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113LSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661WSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152
J. Kosowski10
LSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 12:05A. Grela2.5011118872J. Kosowski1.50791111113WSep 17 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.5071111832J. Kosowski1.50119511113LSep 17 · 09:20P. David1.83114711113J. Kosowski1.8391111882WSep 17 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.831191011113M. Jadczyk1.8081112352WSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661LSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971LSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
Sep 18 · 03:25J. Zandecki1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 18 · 04:10J. Zandecki1.80A. Grela1.91—Sep 18 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.80D. Wederlich1.91—Sep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 18 · 07:45J. Zandecki2.50M. Olejnik1.50—Sep 18 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 18 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 18 · 12:30J. Zandecki1.80A. Grela1.91—Sep 18 · 15:25J. Zandecki1.80D. Wederlich1.91—
J. Kosowski
Sep 18 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 18 · 04:55J. Kosowski1.61J. Kuzmicz2.20—Sep 18 · 06:05J. Kosowski1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 18 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.61D. Wederlich2.20—Sep 18 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.61A. Grela2.20—Sep 18 · 10:50J. Kosowski1.61D. Wederlich2.20—Sep 18 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 18 · 14:10J. Kosowski1.61J. Kuzmicz2.20—Sep 18 · 15:00J. Kosowski1.61A. Grela2.20—
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