TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140926
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114115––––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
3.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
117114115––––
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 7–3 Dawid Kosmal Dawid Kosmal has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1896 vs Kosmal 1600
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 295 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Kosmal 20%
Kuzmicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Kosmal 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +1 · Kosmal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.30 / Kosmal 3.05
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13140926
Kuzmicz1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 412 of 657
Up 2–0, closes it98% 170 of 174
Up 1–0, closes it82% 282 of 344
Kosmal3.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz7wins
AwayKosmal3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayKosmal33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz7Kosmal3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmicz6Kosmal4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmicz7Kosmal3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz5Kosmal2n = 7Kuzmicz took 5 of 7
S5Kuzmicz2Kosmal3n = 5Kosmal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczKosmalKuzmicz − KosmalBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.3+3.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime687 / 1187 vs 351 / 65757.9%53.4%687 / 1187 vs 351 / 657Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.30/Kosmal 3.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 09:20J. Kuzmicz4991311792D. Kosmal521111811113
WAug 10 · 07:20J. Kuzmicz331111113D. Kosmal238690
LAug 1 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz4711881192D. Kosmal51911119113
WJun 9 · 15:05J. Kuzmicz4071111113D. Kosmal34119681
WJun 8 · 18:15J. Kuzmicz391711113D. Kosmal3215890
LMay 25 · 16:40J. Kuzmicz4411691172D. Kosmal50811119113
WMay 20 · 17:25J. Kuzmicz52911811133D. Kosmal48117118112
WMay 11 · 10:40J. Kuzmicz4211911113D. Kosmal32911481
WMar 18 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz46116135113D. Kosmal48911111162
WFeb 6 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz331111113D. Kosmal239860
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113LSep 16 · 13:20K. Wloczko1.44711911123J. Kuzmicz2.63115116102WSep 16 · 11:15M. Miastowski1.8011841192J. Kuzmicz1.91911119113WSep 16 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.57117101172J. Kuzmicz2.25411126113WSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel1.4431011141J. Kuzmicz2.6311129163WSep 16 · 08:05G. Felkel1.33411981J. Kuzmicz3.2511811113WSep 16 · 07:20P. David1.2512770J. Kuzmicz3.751411113LSep 16 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.006670WSep 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731091181J. Kuzmicz2.0012115113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.73101111113J. Kuzmicz2.00124961
D. Kosmal10
LSep 17 · 04:25D. Kosmal2.297870P. Jendrzejewski1.511111113LSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.651111710113D. Kosmal2.1066111252LSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630LSep 16 · 09:00M. Olbrycht1.7561111113D. Kosmal1.90115971WSep 16 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.90121188113M. Olbrycht1.80108111172WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113
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