TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141940
Played Sep 17Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
2.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.51
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
711811711––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 3–1 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 15h before this match
Kosmal beat Jendrzejewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kosmal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1596 vs Jendrzejewski 1631
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 20% vs Jendrzejewski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -2 · Jendrzejewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.29 / Jendrzejewski 1.51
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141940
Kosmal2.29
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Jendrzejewski1.51
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosmal3wins
AwayJendrzejewski1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKosmal leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal100%3 of 3
AwayJendrzejewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal3Jendrzejewski1n = 4Kosmal took 3 of 4
S2Kosmal2Jendrzejewski2n = 4split evenly
S3Kosmal1Jendrzejewski3n = 4Jendrzejewski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosmalJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.540.8−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 658 vs 362 / 74153.3%48.9%351 / 658 vs 362 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiKosmal 2.29/Jendrzejewski 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.3%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 16 · 13:25D. Kosmal45111155133P. Jendrzejewski50981111112
WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal45115611123P. Jendrzejewski45511118102
WFeb 5 · 17:40D. Kosmal361112133P. Jendrzejewski28710110
LFeb 4 · 20:00D. Kosmal28311140P. Jendrzejewski401113163
D. Kosmal10
LSep 17 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz1.301111113D. Kosmal3.057450LSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.651111710113D. Kosmal2.1066111252LSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630LSep 16 · 09:00M. Olbrycht1.7561111113D. Kosmal1.90115971WSep 16 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.90121188113M. Olbrycht1.80108111172WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 17 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.131111113P. Jendrzejewski1.599480WSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik1.85111181242P. Jendrzejewski1.791381110113LSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972LSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102LSep 16 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8512167133P. Jendrzejewski1.85101411111WSep 16 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.8631191152P. Jendrzejewski1.80118117113WSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990LSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362
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