TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136292
Played Sep 16Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1155116111181210
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:33 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1155116111181210
H2H Dawid Kosmal 2–1 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1617 vs Jendrzejewski 1634
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 30% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Jendrzejewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.20 / Jendrzejewski 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13136292
Kosmal2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Jendrzejewski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosmal2wins
AwayJendrzejewski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKosmal leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Jendrzejewski1n = 3Kosmal took 2 of 3
S2Kosmal1Jendrzejewski2n = 3Jendrzejewski took 2 of 3
S3Kosmal1Jendrzejewski2n = 3Jendrzejewski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosmalJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.337.7−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 651 vs 359 / 73453.6%48.9%349 / 651 vs 359 / 734Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiKosmal 2.20/Jendrzejewski 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal45115611123P. Jendrzejewski45511118102
WFeb 5 · 17:40D. Kosmal361112133P. Jendrzejewski28710110
LFeb 4 · 20:00D. Kosmal28311140P. Jendrzejewski401113163
D. Kosmal10
LSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113WSep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96116117113K. Wisniewski1.6951161172LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123LSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113WSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362WSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101LSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113WSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113LSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113LSep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski2.381111510123P. Jendrzejewski1.53971112102WSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
P. Jendrzejewski
Sep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65K. Wisniewski2.03—Sep 16 · 09:20P. Jendrzejewski1.80G. Poliniewicz1.86—Sep 16 · 10:55P. Jendrzejewski1.88M. Rutkowski1.76—Sep 16 · 12:10P. Jendrzejewski1.80K. Kapik1.90—Sep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.55D. Kosmal2.20—Sep 16 · 14:35P. Jendrzejewski1.69M. Olbrycht1.97—
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