TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136299
Played Sep 16Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111161113116
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1188111161113116
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 1–0 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1664 vs Jendrzejewski 1657
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 20% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -4 · Jendrzejewski +1
Poliniewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.86 / Jendrzejewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13136299
Poliniewicz1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 127 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 121
Jendrzejewski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePoliniewicz1wins
AwayJendrzejewski0wins
Poliniewicz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiP − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.027.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1237 / 2099 vs 359 / 73358.9%49%1237 / 2099 vs 359 / 733Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiPoliniewicz 1.86/Jendrzejewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 14 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz3811511113P. Jendrzejewski27511651
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.8511611113M. Olbrycht1.85811831LSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.65811511102K. Wisniewski2.03116115123LSep 14 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.7613611133G. Poliniewicz1.9011115111LSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172WSep 14 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80111176112G. Poliniewicz1.85771111133LSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971WSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113LSep 12 · 14:35D. Solilo3.10611811113G. Poliniewicz1.2911811982WSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102WSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101LSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113WSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113LSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113LSep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski2.381111510123P. Jendrzejewski1.53971112102WSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
P. Jendrzejewski
Sep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65K. Wisniewski2.03—Sep 16 · 09:20P. Jendrzejewski1.80G. Poliniewicz1.86—Sep 16 · 10:55P. Jendrzejewski1.88M. Rutkowski1.76—Sep 16 · 12:10P. Jendrzejewski1.80K. Kapik1.90—Sep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.55D. Kosmal2.20—Sep 16 · 14:35P. Jendrzejewski1.69M. Olbrycht1.97—
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