TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135105
Played Sep 16Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111165111151012
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.03
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
8111165111151012
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 101–125 Karol Wisniewski Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 101 of their 226 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Poliniewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
101-125 in 226
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 24 in 226, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1680 vs Wisniewski 1589
Poliniewicz
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 50% vs Wisniewski 20%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -2 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.65 / Wisniewski 2.03
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13135105
Poliniewicz1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 325 of 459
Up 2–0, closes it95% 141 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it84% 236 of 280
Wisniewski2.03
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 208 of 555
Down 0–1, comes back19% 68 of 350
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz6wins
AwayWisniewski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayWisniewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz6Wisniewski4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S2Poliniewicz7Wisniewski3n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S3Poliniewicz6Wisniewski4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S4Poliniewicz4Wisniewski3n = 7Poliniewicz took 4 of 7
S5Poliniewicz1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.534.7+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1242 / 2107 vs 985 / 218359%45.1%1242 / 2107 vs 985 / 2183Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.65/Wisniewski 2.03
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 08:05G. Poliniewicz355119101K. Wisniewski4011611123
WSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz50911811113K. Wisniewski4111511952
WSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz341111123K. Wisniewski2688100
LSep 7 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz53891115102K. Wisniewski501111313123
LSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz37811991K. Wisniewski4011711113
WSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz331111113K. Wisniewski236980
LAug 26 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz4912911982K. Wisniewski491011611113
WAug 24 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz331111113K. Wisniewski189540
WAug 24 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz4111811113K. Wisniewski30911461
WAug 21 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz4011117113K. Wisniewski30671161
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 14 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.7613611133G. Poliniewicz1.9011115111LSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172WSep 14 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80111176112G. Poliniewicz1.85771111133LSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971WSep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63611461G. Poliniewicz2.0511711113LSep 12 · 14:35D. Solilo3.10611811113G. Poliniewicz1.2911811982WSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882WSep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.206870G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 10:55G. Kesik1.7511116262G. Poliniewicz1.90641111113LSep 12 · 09:20K. Rudomina4.001110911113G. Poliniewicz1.1891211442
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 15 · 07:40K. Wisniewski2.00119113113M. Malachowski1.7071151192LSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.857740K. Kapik1.801111113LSep 15 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.55721171K. Glazowski1.4111118113LSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640WSep 15 · 03:20K. Wisniewski2.35111194113L. Jarocki1.5097111132LSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113LSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Wisniewski2.95961191J. Kuzmicz1.3211114113
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
Sep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.55D. Kosmal2.20—Sep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.86P. Jendrzejewski1.80—Sep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.74M. Olbrycht1.91—Sep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 16 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.85P. Jendrzejewski1.79—Sep 16 · 10:05G. Poliniewicz1.69M. Olbrycht1.97—Sep 16 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.55D. Kosmal2.20—
K. Wisniewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.