TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130865
Played Sep 15Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711411––––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
711711411––––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 121–136 Krzysztof Kapik Karol Wisniewski has won 121 of their 257 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
121-136 in 257
Kapik
Correct
gap of 15 in 257, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1572 vs Kapik 1702
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Kapik 60%
Kapik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 20% vs Kapik 60%
Kapik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Kapik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.85 / Kapik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kapik)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13130865
Wisniewski1.85
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 208 of 555
Down 0–1, comes back19% 68 of 350
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 212
Kapik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 225 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it95% 107 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it79% 150 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayKapik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKapik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski3Kapik7n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski3Kapik7n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Kapik5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski1Kapik4n = 5Kapik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiKapikW − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.336.7−6.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime986 / 2188 vs 1119 / 210145.1%53.3%986 / 2188 vs 1119 / 2101Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikWisniewski 1.85/Kapik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski187740K. Kapik331111113
LAug 31 · 11:20K. Wisniewski331131181K. Kapik4313118113
WAug 28 · 10:55K. Wisniewski331111113K. Kapik248790
LAug 17 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2477100K. Kapik341111123
WAug 14 · 22:50K. Wisniewski43711113113K. Kapik4411981152
WAug 13 · 23:20K. Wisniewski3951211113K. Kapik351110591
LAug 13 · 24:35K. Wisniewski2181030K. Kapik341112113
LAug 11 · 22:35K. Wisniewski174940K. Kapik331111113
WAug 10 · 23:45K. Wisniewski40116111113K. Kapik4481161182
LJul 27 · 12:10K. Wisniewski35128691K. Kapik43101111113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 15 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.55721171K. Glazowski1.4111118113LSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640WSep 15 · 03:20K. Wisniewski2.35111194113L. Jarocki1.5097111132LSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113LSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Wisniewski2.95961191J. Kuzmicz1.3211114113WSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101LSep 12 · 06:25D. Solilo2.201111113K. Wisniewski1.604780
K. Kapik10
LSep 15 · 04:50K. Kapik2.10611111652L. Jarocki1.651191314113WSep 15 · 03:40K. Kapik2.001111113M. Malachowski1.666870WSep 14 · 13:50K. Kapik2.3011116113K. Glazowski1.55751191WSep 14 · 12:35K. Kapik2.051111113M. Rutkowski1.668640LSep 14 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80111176112G. Poliniewicz1.85771111133WSep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.62114331K. Kapik2.1591111113LSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik2.006990M. Malachowski1.661111113WSep 11 · 24:35K. Kapik1.8311116113J. Mitas1.83891171LSep 10 · 23:45M. Kolek2.381111113K. Kapik1.537570WSep 10 · 22:35K. Kapik2.1011139113M. Olbrycht1.678111191
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