TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140867
Played Sep 17Finished
Krzysztof Kapik
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131188111210411
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.79
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11131188111210411
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 38–33 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 33 of their 71 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Kapik beat Jendrzejewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:24What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.79 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-33 in 71
Kapik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1691 vs Jendrzejewski 1618
Kapik
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 40% vs Jendrzejewski 20%
Kapik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 50% vs Jendrzejewski 30%
Kapik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik -2 · Jendrzejewski -4
Jendrzejewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.85 / Jendrzejewski 1.79
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kapik)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13140867
Kapik1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 177 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back26% 53 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Jendrzejewski1.79
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik83.3%5 of 6
AwayJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S2Kapik5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Kapik8Jendrzejewski1n = 9Kapik took 8 of 9
S5Kapik2Jendrzejewski3n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.141.4+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1125 / 2113 vs 361 / 74053.2%48.8%1125 / 2113 vs 361 / 740Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.85/Jendrzejewski 1.79
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 04:50K. Kapik341149101P. Jendrzejewski4391111123
LJul 30 · 21:25K. Kapik3939111152P. Jendrzejewski48111187113
WJul 30 · 16:55K. Kapik4611168113P. Jendrzejewski439141191
WJul 29 · 18:05K. Kapik331111113P. Jendrzejewski193970
LJul 23 · 18:50K. Kapik47911101162P. Jendrzejewski45115126113
WJul 22 · 17:40K. Kapik44111111113P. Jendrzejewski38813981
WJul 15 · 23:55K. Kapik491211411113P. Jendrzejewski48101311772
WJul 15 · 21:45K. Kapik4291111113P. Jendrzejewski27114571
LJul 9 · 16:55K. Kapik49711121182P. Jendrzejewski54119149113
WJul 2 · 23:55K. Kapik48117711123P. Jendrzejewski49911118102
K. Kapik10
LSep 16 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.831111910113K. Kapik1.8398111292LSep 16 · 13:00M. Olbrycht1.94511511113K. Kapik1.7111911782WSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102WSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630LSep 16 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.831111125113K. Kapik1.8789141162WSep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511913972K. Kapik1.858111111113WSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581LSep 16 · 06:00M. Olbrycht1.80111211113K. Kapik1.90814771LSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101WSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972LSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102LSep 16 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8512167133P. Jendrzejewski1.85101411111WSep 16 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.8631191152P. Jendrzejewski1.80118117113WSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990LSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362WSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101LSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kapik
Sep 17 · 04:00K. Kapik1.63K. Wisniewski2.05—Sep 17 · 05:35K. Kapik2.45J. Kuzmicz1.49—Sep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.55D. Kosmal2.20—Sep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.73M. Olbrycht1.92—Sep 17 · 09:20K. Kapik1.85G. Poliniewicz1.79—Sep 17 · 10:05K. Kapik1.90M. Rutkowski1.74—Sep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.85P. Jendrzejewski1.79—Sep 17 · 12:35K. Kapik1.43D. Solilo2.50—Sep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.73M. Olbrycht1.92—
P. Jendrzejewski
Sep 17 · 04:25P. Jendrzejewski1.51D. Kosmal2.29—Sep 17 · 05:15P. Jendrzejewski1.59K. Wisniewski2.13—Sep 17 · 07:15P. Jendrzejewski1.68M. Olbrycht1.99—Sep 17 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski2.36J. Kuzmicz1.48—Sep 17 · 09:00P. Jendrzejewski1.90M. Rutkowski1.74—Sep 17 · 10:30P. Jendrzejewski1.68M. Olbrycht1.99—Sep 17 · 11:20P. Jendrzejewski1.79K. Kapik1.85—Sep 17 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.79G. Poliniewicz1.85—Sep 17 · 14:15P. Jendrzejewski—D. Solilo——
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