Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141376

Starts 04:00 AMScheduled

Krzysztof Kapik

Home

1.63

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

138 – 121

All 259 meetings · 53.3%

Last 10 · 7–3Same side

Karol Wisniewski

Away

2.05

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 21h before this match

Kapik beat Wisniewski 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKapik 1.63 / Wisniewski 2.05

TT Elite Series · #13141376

Kapik1.63

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite63% won 228 of 363

Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113

Up 1–0, closes it79% 152 of 193

Wisniewski2.05

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 210 of 553

Down 0–1, comes back19% 66 of 345

Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 209

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKapik7wins

AwayWisniewski3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKapik77.8%7 of 9

AwayWisniewskin = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kapik9Wisniewski1n = 10Kapik took 9 of 10

S2Kapik5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly

S3Kapik6Wisniewski4n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10

S4Kapik3Wisniewski2n = 5Kapik took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKapikWisniewskiK − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.130.6+6.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKapikWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1126 / 2115 vs 986 / 218853.2%45.1%1126 / 2115 vs 986 / 2188Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 17 · 04:00K. Kapik47118116113K. Wisniewski4391171152

WSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik44111111113K. Wisniewski35913581

WSep 15 · 06:25K. Kapik331111113K. Wisniewski187740

WAug 31 · 11:20K. Kapik4313118113K. Wisniewski331131181

LAug 28 · 10:55K. Kapik248790K. Wisniewski331111113

WAug 17 · 09:45K. Kapik341111123K. Wisniewski2477100

LAug 14 · 22:50K. Kapik4411981152K. Wisniewski43711113113

LAug 13 · 23:20K. Kapik351110591K. Wisniewski3951211113

WAug 13 · 24:35K. Kapik341112113K. Wisniewski2181030

WAug 11 · 22:35K. Kapik331111113K. Wisniewski174940

K. Kapik10

LSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik1.85111181242P. Jendrzejewski1.791381110113 LSep 16 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.831111910113K. Kapik1.8398111292 LSep 16 · 13:00M. Olbrycht1.94511511113K. Kapik1.7111911782 WSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102 WSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630 LSep 16 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.831111125113K. Kapik1.8789141162 WSep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511913972K. Kapik1.858111111113 WSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581 LSep 16 · 06:00M. Olbrycht1.80111211113K. Kapik1.90814771 LSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101

K. Wisniewski10

LSep 17 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9711116972M. Olbrycht1.69881111113 LSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990 LSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581 WSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113 WSep 16 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.761091171K. Wisniewski1.9012117113 WSep 16 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.65811511102K. Wisniewski2.03116115123 WSep 15 · 07:40K. Wisniewski2.00119113113M. Malachowski1.7071151192 LSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.857740K. Kapik1.801111113 LSep 15 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.55721171K. Glazowski1.4111118113 LSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640

Upcoming Matches

K. Kapik

Sep 17 · 05:35K. Kapik2.45J. Kuzmicz1.49—Sep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.55D. Kosmal2.20—Sep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.73M. Olbrycht1.92—Sep 17 · 09:20K. Kapik1.85G. Poliniewicz1.79—Sep 17 · 10:05K. Kapik1.90M. Rutkowski1.74—Sep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.85P. Jendrzejewski1.79—Sep 17 · 12:35K. Kapik1.43D. Solilo2.50—Sep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.73M. Olbrycht1.92—

K. Wisniewski

Sep 17 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.13P. Jendrzejewski1.59—Sep 17 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.90J. Kuzmicz1.32—Sep 17 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.73D. Kosmal1.91—

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