TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136296
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181214117117––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1181214117117––
H2H Michal Olbrycht 61–55 Krzysztof Kapik Krzysztof Kapik has won 55 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Olbrycht
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-55 in 116
Olbrycht
Correct
gap of 6 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1645 vs Kapik 1687
Kapik
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 40% vs Kapik 60%
Kapik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 50% vs Kapik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -1 · Kapik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.80 / Kapik 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Olbrycht)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13136296
Olbrycht1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 89 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 68 of 80
Kapik1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 177 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back26% 53 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlbrycht6wins
AwayKapik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOlbrycht leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlbrycht100%4 of 4
AwayKapik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olbrycht4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S2Olbrycht3Kapik7n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S3Olbrycht8Kapik2n = 10Olbrycht took 8 of 10
S4Olbrycht6Kapik4n = 10Olbrycht took 6 of 10
S5Olbrycht3Kapik2n = 5Olbrycht took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlbrychtKapikO − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.0+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 773 vs 1121 / 210647.4%53.2%366 / 773 vs 1121 / 2106Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 1.80/Kapik 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Olbrycht won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:00M. Olbrycht45111211113K. Kapik36814771
LSep 10 · 22:35M. Olbrycht398111191K. Kapik4411139113
LSep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht50712111552K. Kapik561114713113
LSep 9 · 22:10M. Olbrycht4561391162K. Kapik531111119113
WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht45611116113K. Kapik4711981182
WSep 1 · 23:20M. Olbrycht50111288113K. Kapik44710111152
WAug 12 · 21:25M. Olbrycht48691111113K. Kapik4211116862
WAug 12 · 18:05M. Olbrycht4112711113K. Kapik351011771
WAug 11 · 22:10M. Olbrycht4211911113K. Kapik35911781
LAug 11 · 17:40M. Olbrycht31881141K. Kapik3811115113
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.8511611113M. Olbrycht1.85811831LSep 16 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.761091171K. Wisniewski1.9012117113WSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113LSep 10 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.911111107113M. Olbrycht1.8099121152LSep 10 · 22:35K. Kapik2.1011139113M. Olbrycht1.678111191WSep 10 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.5313119113J. Mitas2.381171171WSep 10 · 21:00M. Kolek2.381110761M. Olbrycht1.5381211113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Olbrycht1.8081312123J. Chmielowski1.91111110101LSep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.83712111552K. Kapik1.831114713113WSep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht1.671111113J. Mitas2.104780
K. Kapik10
LSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101WSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113WSep 15 · 08:05K. Kapik1.9511711113K. Glazowski1.75711791WSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.857740K. Kapik1.801111113LSep 15 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.4951111113K. Kapik2.34115761LSep 15 · 04:50K. Kapik2.10611111652L. Jarocki1.651191314113WSep 15 · 03:40K. Kapik2.001111113M. Malachowski1.666870WSep 14 · 13:50K. Kapik2.3011116113K. Glazowski1.55751191WSep 10 · 22:35K. Kapik2.1011139113M. Olbrycht1.678111191WSep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.83712111552K. Kapik1.831114713113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
K. Kapik
Sep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67K. Wisniewski2.00—Sep 16 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83G. Poliniewicz1.83—Sep 16 · 09:45K. Kapik1.91M. Rutkowski1.73—Sep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.57D. Kosmal2.16—Sep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90P. Jendrzejewski1.80—Sep 16 · 13:00K. Kapik1.71M. Olbrycht1.94—Sep 16 · 13:50K. Kapik1.81G. Poliniewicz1.82—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.