TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138126
Played Sep 16Finished
Krzysztof Kapik
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116113––––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
2.16
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:26 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
119116113––––
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 7–8 Dawid Kosmal Krzysztof Kapik has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1696 vs Kosmal 1617
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 40% vs Kosmal 60%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 50% vs Kosmal 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik -1 · Kosmal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kapik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.57 / Kosmal 2.16
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kapik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13138126
Kapik1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 226 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it79% 150 of 190
Kosmal2.16
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik4wins
AwayKosmal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik50%2 of 4
AwayKosmal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kapik5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik2Kosmal8n = 10Kosmal took 8 of 10
S4Kapik4Kosmal2n = 6Kapik took 4 of 6
S5Kapik2Kosmal2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikKosmalKapik − KosmalBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.737.8−2.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime1123 / 2109 vs 350 / 65353.3%53.6%1123 / 2109 vs 350 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.57/Kosmal 2.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 03:20K. Kapik49711911113D. Kosmal4211511692
LAug 31 · 09:00K. Kapik29115671D. Kosmal4291111113
LAug 28 · 14:35K. Kapik204970D. Kosmal331111113
LJun 9 · 16:40K. Kapik145810D. Kosmal331111113
WJun 8 · 20:35K. Kapik331111113D. Kosmal122550
WMay 13 · 19:25K. Kapik3851111113D. Kosmal29117741
LMar 11 · 17:40K. Kapik4311661282D. Kosmal485111110113
LFeb 10 · 19:35K. Kapik258980D. Kosmal331111113
LNov 11 · 18:00K. Kapik599111211162D. Kosmal60119149173
WOct 27 · 17:20K. Kapik47131139113D. Kosmal46116111172
K. Kapik10
LSep 16 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.831111125113K. Kapik1.8789141162WSep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511913972K. Kapik1.858111111113WSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581LSep 16 · 06:00M. Olbrycht1.80111211113K. Kapik1.90814771LSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101WSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113WSep 15 · 08:05K. Kapik1.9511711113K. Glazowski1.75711791WSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.857740K. Kapik1.801111113LSep 15 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.4951111113K. Kapik2.34115761LSep 15 · 04:50K. Kapik2.10611111652L. Jarocki1.651191314113
D. Kosmal10
LSep 16 · 09:00M. Olbrycht1.7561111113D. Kosmal1.90115971WSep 16 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.90121188113M. Olbrycht1.80108111172WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113WSep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96116117113K. Wisniewski1.6951161172LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123LSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113
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