TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140140
Played Sep 17Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
1.97
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118118611911711
Michal Olbrycht
Away
1.69
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
118118611911711
H2H Karol Wisniewski 23–30 Michal Olbrycht Karol Wisniewski has won 23 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:56What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (54%)
Olbrycht
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-30 in 53
Olbrycht
Correct
gap of 7 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1596 vs Olbrycht 1679
Olbrycht
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 60% vs Olbrycht 80%
Olbrycht
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Olbrycht 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Olbrycht +3
Olbrycht
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.97 / Olbrycht 1.69
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Olbrycht)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13140140
Wisniewski1.97
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 210 of 555
Down 0–1, comes back19% 67 of 348
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 212
Olbrycht1.69
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 89 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 68 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwayOlbrycht5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski83.3%5 of 6
AwayOlbrycht100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski6Olbrycht4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski8Olbrycht2n = 10Wisniewski took 8 of 10
S3Wisniewski2Olbrycht8n = 10Olbrycht took 8 of 10
S4Wisniewski5Olbrycht4n = 9Wisniewski took 5 of 9
S5Wisniewski1Olbrycht2n = 3Olbrycht took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiOlbrychtW − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime987 / 2188 vs 370 / 77945.1%47.5%987 / 2188 vs 370 / 779Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtWisniewski 1.97/Olbrycht 1.69
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Olbrycht won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 04:25K. Wisniewski4112117113M. Olbrycht371091171
LAug 12 · 21:50K. Wisniewski32712581M. Olbrycht43111011113
WAug 12 · 24:35K. Wisniewski4011117113M. Olbrycht34861191
LMay 21 · 14:00K. Wisniewski30811561M. Olbrycht3911611113
WMay 21 · 08:45K. Wisniewski46111185113M. Olbrycht4799111172
LMay 20 · 03:55K. Wisniewski391310881M. Olbrycht45111211113
LMay 19 · 04:35K. Wisniewski4181131182M. Olbrycht44114117113
WApr 22 · 03:30K. Wisniewski341211113M. Olbrycht2210750
LApr 21 · 05:20K. Wisniewski48791111102M. Olbrycht46111175123
WApr 20 · 12:20K. Wisniewski4011117113M. Olbrycht34971171
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990LSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581WSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.761091171K. Wisniewski1.9012117113WSep 16 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.65811511102K. Wisniewski2.03116115123WSep 15 · 07:40K. Wisniewski2.00119113113M. Malachowski1.7071151192LSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.857740K. Kapik1.801111113LSep 15 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.55721171K. Glazowski1.4111118113LSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640WSep 15 · 03:20K. Wisniewski2.35111194113L. Jarocki1.5097111132
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972WSep 16 · 13:00M. Olbrycht1.94511511113K. Kapik1.7111911782WSep 16 · 11:45M. Olbrycht2.09813811113M. Rutkowski1.61111111592LSep 16 · 10:05M. Olbrycht1.97101151162G. Poliniewicz1.69126117113WSep 16 · 09:00M. Olbrycht1.7561111113D. Kosmal1.90115971LSep 16 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.90121188113M. Olbrycht1.80108111172LSep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.8511611113M. Olbrycht1.85811831WSep 16 · 06:00M. Olbrycht1.80111211113K. Kapik1.90814771LSep 16 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.761091171K. Wisniewski1.9012117113WSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wisniewski
M. Olbrycht
Sep 17 · 04:50M. Olbrycht2.60J. Kuzmicz1.40—Sep 17 · 06:00M. Olbrycht1.60D. Kosmal2.11—Sep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99P. Jendrzejewski1.68—Sep 17 · 08:30M. Olbrycht1.92K. Kapik1.73—Sep 17 · 09:45M. Olbrycht1.47D. Solilo2.39—Sep 17 · 10:30M. Olbrycht1.99P. Jendrzejewski1.68—Sep 17 · 12:10M. Olbrycht1.98G. Poliniewicz1.68—Sep 17 · 13:00M. Olbrycht2.05M. Rutkowski1.63—Sep 17 · 13:50M. Olbrycht1.92K. Kapik1.73—
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