TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137379
Played Sep 16Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311118911117511
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
311118911117511
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2–0 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:49What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1676 vs Jendrzejewski 1647
Poliniewicz
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -1 · Jendrzejewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.86 / Jendrzejewski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13137379
Poliniewicz1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 127 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 121
Jendrzejewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePoliniewicz2wins
AwayJendrzejewski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiP − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.035.5+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1238 / 2101 vs 360 / 73558.9%49%1238 / 2101 vs 360 / 735Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.86/Jendrzejewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz521181111113P. Jendrzejewski4481161362
WMar 14 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz3811511113P. Jendrzejewski27511651
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 16 · 10:05M. Olbrycht1.97101151162G. Poliniewicz1.69126117113LSep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511913972K. Kapik1.858111111113WSep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.8511611113M. Olbrycht1.85811831WSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362LSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.65811511102K. Wisniewski2.03116115123LSep 14 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.7613611133G. Poliniewicz1.9011115111LSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172WSep 14 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80111176112G. Poliniewicz1.85771111133LSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990LSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362WSep 16 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.8391111123K. Kapik1.831149101LSep 16 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski1.759990M. Olbrycht1.901111113WSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113LSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113
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