TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138120
Played Sep 16Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161167111012115
Dawid Kosmal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:27 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1161167111012115
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 16–12 Dawid Kosmal Dawid Kosmal has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-12 in 28
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1674 vs Kosmal 1606
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Kosmal 40%
Poliniewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Kosmal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +1 · Kosmal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.65 / Kosmal 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13138120
Poliniewicz1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 323 of 456
Up 2–0, closes it95% 140 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it84% 234 of 278
Kosmal2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz4wins
AwayKosmal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz33.3%2 of 6
AwayKosmal50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz6Kosmal4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S2Poliniewicz5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Poliniewicz6Kosmal4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S4Poliniewicz5Kosmal4n = 9Poliniewicz took 5 of 9
S5Poliniewicz0Kosmal4n = 4Kosmal took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczKosmalP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime1239 / 2103 vs 350 / 65458.9%53.5%1239 / 2103 vs 350 / 654Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.65/Kosmal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz4011511492D. Kosmal47711711113
LSep 10 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz47111081172D. Kosmal49912116113
LAug 19 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz33118861D. Kosmal3851111113
WAug 18 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz4311813113D. Kosmal346111161
LAug 5 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz3511341162D. Kosmal47711117113
WJul 15 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz331111113D. Kosmal165560
LJul 15 · 04:50G. Poliniewicz4781112882D. Kosmal501171011113
LJul 14 · 06:25G. Poliniewicz409111191D. Kosmal4311813113
WJul 14 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz3851111113D. Kosmal33119851
WJun 24 · 06:25G. Poliniewicz4491112123D. Kosmal3811710101
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 16 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz1.951186141M. Rutkowski1.7071111163WSep 16 · 10:05M. Olbrycht1.97101151162G. Poliniewicz1.69126117113LSep 16 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.8631191152P. Jendrzejewski1.80118117113LSep 16 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511913972K. Kapik1.858111111113WSep 16 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.8511611113M. Olbrycht1.85811831WSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.861181111113P. Jendrzejewski1.8081161362LSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.65811511102K. Wisniewski2.03116115123LSep 14 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.7613611133G. Poliniewicz1.9011115111LSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172
D. Kosmal10
LSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630LSep 16 · 09:00M. Olbrycht1.7561111113D. Kosmal1.90115971WSep 16 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.90121188113M. Olbrycht1.80108111172WSep 16 · 06:25D. Kosmal2.20115611123P. Jendrzejewski1.57511118102LSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.5511511492D. Kosmal2.20711711113LSep 16 · 03:20D. Kosmal2.2011511692K. Kapik1.57711911113WSep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96116117113K. Wisniewski1.6951161172LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123
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