TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139804
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr David
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr David above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Petr David at 59.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 56–26 Grzegorz Felkel Grzegorz Felkel has won 26 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-26 in 82
David
Wrong
gap of 30 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1957 vs Felkel 1872
David
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 40% vs Felkel 60%
Felkel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 50% vs Felkel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Felkel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.61 / Felkel 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (David)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13139804
David1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 229 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it83% 172 of 208
Felkel2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 28 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayFelkel4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%4 of 4
AwayFelkel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2David6Felkel4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3David8Felkel2n = 10David took 8 of 10
S4David3Felkel3n = 6split evenly
S5David1Felkel2n = 3Felkel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidFelkelD − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.2+3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 993 vs 700 / 117465.8%59.6%653 / 993 vs 700 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.61/Felkel 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 03:00P. David539111111113G. Felkel4511481392
WSep 16 · 11:40P. David351311113G. Felkel2111370
WSep 16 · 04:55P. David3811511113G. Felkel29411681
LAug 27 · 09:00P. David45711115112G. Felkel53119911133
LAug 27 · 03:45P. David4691111692G. Felkel46116711113
WJun 28 · 10:25P. David331111113G. Felkel228590
WJun 28 · 07:20P. David4391211113G. Felkel331110571
LMay 20 · 12:25P. David258980G. Felkel331111113
WMay 20 · 04:00P. David46111113113G. Felkel377131161
LMay 19 · 15:10P. David205870G. Felkel331111113
P. David10
LSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 09:20P. David1.83114711113J. Kosowski1.8391111882WSep 17 · 08:30P. David1.571111113A. Grela2.254780LSep 17 · 06:55P. David1.738111411112M. Jadczyk2.00114163133LSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113WSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971WSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113
G. Felkel10
LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:30M. Jadczyk2.001111113G. Felkel1.738760LSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:35G. Felkel1.4421491142K. Wloczko2.631112115113LSep 16 · 12:55G. Felkel1.83791141M. Jadczyk1.8311115113LSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113
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