TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13151879
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.26
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210811117118––
Jakub Stecyszyn
Away
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Jakub Stecyszyn below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 1–0 Jakub Stecyszyn Jakub Stecyszyn has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:51What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (70%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1927 vs Stecyszyn 1907
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Stecyszyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Stecyszyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Stecyszyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stecyszyn form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.26 / Stecyszyn 2.95
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13151879
Kuzmicz1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 407 of 650
Up 2–0, closes it98% 168 of 172
Up 1–0, closes it82% 280 of 341
Stecyszyn2.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuzmicz1wins
AwayStecyszyn0wins
Kuzmicz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuzmiczStecyszynK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.036.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczStecyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime693 / 1198 vs 6 / 1057.9%60%693 / 1198 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.26/Stecyszyn 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz4212811113J. Stecyszyn361011781
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113WSep 18 · 12:55J. Kuzmicz3.00111656113D. Wederlich1.36714111162WSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113WSep 18 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.751311133D. Wederlich1.40117110LSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44311119113J. Kuzmicz2.6311471182WSep 18 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619980WSep 18 · 03:45J. Kuzmicz1.801411113M. Olejnik1.9112850WSep 17 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.1551111113P. Jendrzejewski1.63117991
J. Stecyszyn10
LSep 19 · 14:10D. Wederlich1.9113116113J. Stecyszyn1.801181181WSep 19 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz3.0081211552J. Stecyszyn1.361110711113WSep 19 · 11:15A. Daniel2.0011780J. Stecyszyn1.731311113LSep 19 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311911113J. Stecyszyn1.83711971WSep 19 · 09:00D. Kostal2.906630J. Stecyszyn1.311111113WSep 19 · 08:05D. Kostal3.00119841J. Stecyszyn1.3691111113WSep 19 · 07:20A. Daniel2.1011511472J. Stecyszyn1.67611611113WSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.75661431J. Stecyszyn1.40111112113WSep 19 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731814761J. Stecyszyn2.00201211113WSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.40116641J. Stecyszyn2.7581111113
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