TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157516
Played Sep 19Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210117511511
Jakub Stecyszyn
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Poliniewicz above · Jakub Stecyszyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Grzegorz Poliniewicz at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 0–1 Jakub Stecyszyn Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:16What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Stecyszyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1644 vs Stecyszyn 1985
Stecyszyn
Correct
both rated, 341 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Stecyszyn 80%
Stecyszyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Stecyszyn 80%
Stecyszyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -2 · Stecyszyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Stecyszyn) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 3.00 / Stecyszyn 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Stecyszyn)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13157516
Poliniewicz3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 129 of 351
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 121
Stecyszyn1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePoliniewicz0wins
AwayStecyszyn1wins
Stecyszyn leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPoliniewiczStecyszynP − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.045.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczStecyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime1227 / 2094 vs 13 / 1858.6%72.2%1227 / 2094 vs 13 / 18Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StecyszynPoliniewicz 3.00/Stecyszyn 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Stecyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stecyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz29661431J. Stecyszyn45111112113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 19 · 14:35D. Kostal2.6311811133G. Poliniewicz1.448119111LSep 19 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.221011811113G. Poliniewicz4.0012811532LSep 19 · 10:50D. Wederlich1.22115811113G. Poliniewicz4.0071111972WSep 19 · 09:20A. Daniel1.50561181G. Poliniewicz2.5011119113LSep 19 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.007101171M. Jadczyk1.2211129113WSep 19 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz1.53127118123D. Kostal2.381011811102LSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.75661431J. Stecyszyn1.40111112113LSep 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.2551111113G. Poliniewicz3.75116571LSep 19 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz2.631114841A. Daniel1.44131211113WSep 17 · 14:35M. Rutkowski1.75891191G. Poliniewicz1.9011115113
J. Stecyszyn10
LSep 19 · 14:10D. Wederlich1.9113116113J. Stecyszyn1.801181181WSep 19 · 11:15A. Daniel2.0011780J. Stecyszyn1.731311113LSep 19 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311911113J. Stecyszyn1.83711971WSep 19 · 09:00D. Kostal2.906630J. Stecyszyn1.311111113WSep 19 · 08:05D. Kostal3.00119841J. Stecyszyn1.3691111113WSep 19 · 07:20A. Daniel2.1011511472J. Stecyszyn1.67611611113WSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.75661431J. Stecyszyn1.40111112113WSep 19 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731814761J. Stecyszyn2.00201211113WSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.40116641J. Stecyszyn2.7581111113LSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781
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