TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154331
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Wederlich
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311118611118––
Jakub Stecyszyn
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Stecyszyn to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Jakub Stecyszyn below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-8
Point 77 set 4, 9-8 — our read held Jakub Stecyszyn at 61.2%
77 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Damian Wederlich 0–2 Jakub Stecyszyn Damian Wederlich has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stecyszyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wederlich 1931 vs Stecyszyn 1997
Stecyszyn
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wederlich 60% vs Stecyszyn 80%
Stecyszyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wederlich 70% vs Stecyszyn 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wederlich +3 · Stecyszyn +2
Wederlich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stecyszyn) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stecyszyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWederlich 1.91 / Stecyszyn 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stecyszyn)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13154331
Wederlich1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 15 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Stecyszyn1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWederlich0wins
AwayStecyszyn2wins
Stecyszyn leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWederlichStecyszynW − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.044.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWederlichStecyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 160 vs 13 / 1857.5%72.2%92 / 160 vs 13 / 18Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StecyszynWederlich 1.91/Stecyszyn 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Stecyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich27116641J. Stecyszyn4181111113
LSep 18 · 12:05D. Wederlich391183171J. Stecyszyn4761111193
D. Wederlich10
WSep 19 · 12:30A. Daniel2.6371191132D. Wederlich1.44115113113WSep 19 · 11:40D. Kostal4.005570D. Wederlich1.221111113WSep 19 · 10:50D. Wederlich1.22115811113G. Poliniewicz4.0071111972LSep 19 · 09:40D. Wederlich1.911071171M. Jadczyk1.8012116113LSep 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.503760A. Daniel2.501111113WSep 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.91411125113M. Jadczyk1.80119101192WSep 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.2011711113D. Kostal4.33611791WSep 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.2551111113G. Poliniewicz3.75116571LSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.40116641J. Stecyszyn2.7581111113WSep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich2.00491311113J. Zandecki1.73111111552
J. Stecyszyn10
WSep 19 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz3.0081211552J. Stecyszyn1.361110711113WSep 19 · 11:15A. Daniel2.0011780J. Stecyszyn1.731311113LSep 19 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311911113J. Stecyszyn1.83711971WSep 19 · 09:00D. Kostal2.906630J. Stecyszyn1.311111113WSep 19 · 08:05D. Kostal3.00119841J. Stecyszyn1.3691111113WSep 19 · 07:20A. Daniel2.1011511472J. Stecyszyn1.67611611113WSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.75661431J. Stecyszyn1.40111112113WSep 19 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731814761J. Stecyszyn2.00201211113WSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.40116641J. Stecyszyn2.7581111113LSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781
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