TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154742
Played Sep 19Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511116411711
Jakub Stecyszyn
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:44 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Stecyszyn to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Jakub Stecyszyn below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 83 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Stecyszyn at 62.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 0–1 Jakub Stecyszyn Artur Daniel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:44What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stecyszyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1696 vs Stecyszyn 1997
Stecyszyn
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 80% vs Stecyszyn 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 60% vs Stecyszyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Stecyszyn +3
Stecyszyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stecyszyn) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stecyszyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 2.10 / Stecyszyn 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Stecyszyn)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13154742
Daniel2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 71 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Stecyszyn1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDaniel0wins
AwayStecyszyn1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStecyszyn leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDanielStecyszynD − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.045.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielStecyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1437 vs 11 / 1553%73.3%762 / 1437 vs 11 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.140.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StecyszynDaniel 2.10/Stecyszyn 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Stecyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stecyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 07:20A. Daniel3811511472J. Stecyszyn45611611113
A. Daniel10
WSep 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.503760A. Daniel2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.6111112113A. Daniel2.20891141WSep 19 · 04:55D. Kostal2.7571111662A. Daniel1.40118711113WSep 19 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz2.631114841A. Daniel1.44131211113WSep 18 · 21:00A. Daniel1.2881111113M. Woskowicz3.50114491WSep 18 · 19:40A. Daniel1.221111123P. Maruszak4.0053100LSep 18 · 18:30A. Daniel1.3391151152M. Kolek3.25117117113WSep 18 · 17:20K. Staszczyk2.257920A. Daniel1.571111113LSep 18 · 16:30A. Daniel1.2591111752B. Sulkowski3.75118911113LSep 18 · 14:35A. Daniel1.8511541142D. Kostal1.80611118113
J. Stecyszyn10
WSep 19 · 08:05D. Kostal3.00119841J. Stecyszyn1.3691111113WSep 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.75661431J. Stecyszyn1.40111112113WSep 19 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.731814761J. Stecyszyn2.00201211113WSep 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.40116641J. Stecyszyn2.7581111113LSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781WSep 18 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn3.901111113J. Zandecki1.178970LSep 18 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.44111011113J. Stecyszyn2.63912791WSep 18 · 12:05D. Wederlich1.191183171J. Stecyszyn3.4061111193WSep 18 · 10:25A. Grela1.73511991J. Stecyszyn2.0011911113LSep 18 · 08:05J. Stecyszyn1.87117891K. Kapik1.8361111113
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