TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152944
Played Sep 18Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511411118411
Daniel Kostal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
116511411118411
H2H Artur Daniel 0–1 Daniel Kostal Artur Daniel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:54What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kostal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1713 vs Kostal 1625
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 20% vs Kostal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 40% vs Kostal 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +1 · Kostal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kostal) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.85 / Kostal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kostal)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13152944
Daniel1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 71 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Kostal1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 6 of 10
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDaniel0wins
AwayKostal1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKostal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDanielKostalD − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.053.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielKostalBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1437 vs 26 / 5953%44.1%761 / 1437 vs 26 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostalDaniel 1.85/Kostal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kostal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kostal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 20 · 09:30A. Daniel491110111072D. Kostal53912912113
A. Daniel10
WSep 19 · 13:45A. Daniel2.38991111113M. Jadczyk1.5311117892LSep 19 · 12:30A. Daniel2.6371191132D. Wederlich1.44115113113LSep 19 · 11:15A. Daniel2.0011780J. Stecyszyn1.731311113WSep 19 · 10:00D. Kostal2.20118191A. Daniel1.5751111113LSep 19 · 09:20A. Daniel1.50561181G. Poliniewicz2.5011119113WSep 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.503760A. Daniel2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:20A. Daniel2.1011511472J. Stecyszyn1.67611611113LSep 19 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.6111112113A. Daniel2.20891141WSep 19 · 04:55D. Kostal2.7571111662A. Daniel1.40118711113WSep 19 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz2.631114841A. Daniel1.44131211113
D. Kostal10
WSep 19 · 14:35D. Kostal2.6311811133G. Poliniewicz1.448119111LSep 19 · 12:55D. Kostal3.5011751462M. Jadczyk1.289111112113LSep 19 · 11:40D. Kostal4.005570D. Wederlich1.221111113LSep 19 · 10:00D. Kostal2.20118191A. Daniel1.5751111113LSep 19 · 09:00D. Kostal2.906630J. Stecyszyn1.311111113LSep 19 · 08:05D. Kostal3.00119841J. Stecyszyn1.3691111113LSep 19 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz1.53127118123D. Kostal2.381011811102LSep 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.2011711113D. Kostal4.33611791LSep 19 · 04:55D. Kostal2.7571111662A. Daniel1.40118711113LSep 19 · 03:45D. Kostal4.003940M. Jadczyk1.221111113
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