TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139913
Played Sep 17Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 68.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 11–44 Grzegorz Felkel Krzysztof Wloczko has won 11 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-44 in 55
Felkel
Correct
gap of 33 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1872 vs Felkel 1908
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 20% vs Felkel 60%
Felkel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 30% vs Felkel 50%
Felkel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -4 · Felkel +2
Wloczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.75 / Felkel 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Felkel)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13139913
Wloczko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 145 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 121
Felkel1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 220 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it93% 118 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it78% 159 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayFelkel6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko50%2 of 4
AwayFelkel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Wloczko4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko2Felkel7n = 9Felkel took 7 of 9
S5Wloczko3Felkel0n = 3Wloczko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoFelkelW − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.041.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime942 / 1808 vs 701 / 117452.1%59.7%942 / 1808 vs 701 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelWloczko 2.75/Felkel 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.6%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 14:35K. Wloczko501112115113G. Felkel4021491142
LSep 16 · 06:30K. Wloczko25612431G. Felkel43111011113
LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko341149101G. Felkel4061111123
WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko54511159143G. Felkel541171311122
WSep 9 · 05:15K. Wloczko531110912113G. Felkel47512111092
LAug 20 · 12:35K. Wloczko32711681G. Felkel4011711113
LAug 19 · 05:15K. Wloczko361181071G. Felkel4391112113
LJul 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko206860G. Felkel331111113
WJul 8 · 04:55K. Wloczko3731211113G. Felkel321110831
LJun 29 · 03:25K. Wloczko29741171G. Felkel3811115113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 17 · 12:30P. David1.2511118113K. Wloczko3.75931191LSep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.501113113K. Wloczko2.5091160LSep 17 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.5071111832J. Kosowski1.50119511113LSep 17 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.50411461A. Grela1.5011411113WSep 16 · 14:35G. Felkel1.4421491142K. Wloczko2.631112115113WSep 16 · 13:20K. Wloczko1.44711911123J. Kuzmicz2.63115116102LSep 16 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5381111113K. Wloczko2.38117771WSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113LSep 16 · 09:20M. Miastowski1.671112113K. Wloczko2.1071080LSep 16 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50413641M. Jadczyk1.50111111113
G. Felkel10
WSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 11:15P. David1.6198100G. Felkel2.201111123LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:30M. Jadczyk2.001111113G. Felkel1.738760LSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:35G. Felkel1.4421491142K. Wloczko2.631112115113
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