TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210811711114117
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 54.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 66–44 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 44 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-44 in 110
Felkel
Correct
gap of 22 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1870 vs Jadczyk 1855
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 40% vs Jadczyk 20%
Felkel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 50% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel -3 · Jadczyk -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.73 / Jadczyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Felkel)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164856
Felkel1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 217 of 352
Up 2–0, closes it93% 119 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it78% 160 of 204
Jadczyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 107 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel6wins
AwayJadczyk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel83.3%5 of 6
AwayJadczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel6Jadczyk4n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Felkel5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Felkel4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S4Felkel3Jadczyk4n = 7Jadczyk took 4 of 7
S5Felkel4Jadczyk1n = 5Felkel took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelJadczykF − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.3+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime687 / 1164 vs 978 / 167959%58.3%687 / 1164 vs 978 / 1679Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.73/Jadczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel49128711113M. Jadczyk43101111472
LSep 17 · 04:30G. Felkel218760M. Jadczyk331111113
LSep 16 · 12:55G. Felkel31791141M. Jadczyk3811115113
WSep 16 · 03:45G. Felkel50111189113M. Jadczyk3887111112
WSep 10 · 10:25G. Felkel44611115113M. Jadczyk3911781122
WSep 10 · 04:20G. Felkel52116911153M. Jadczyk44511114132
LSep 9 · 10:25G. Felkel32119751M. Jadczyk3961111113
LAug 26 · 09:40G. Felkel4381191142M. Jadczyk48119116113
WAug 26 · 06:05G. Felkel331111113M. Jadczyk206770
WAug 20 · 06:05G. Felkel331111113M. Jadczyk214980
G. Felkel10
LSep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61911681M. Murawski2.2011411113LSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:00G. Felkel1.5368111192J. Kuzmicz2.38111159113WSep 17 · 14:10K. Wloczko2.757870G. Felkel1.401111113WSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 11:15P. David1.6198100G. Felkel2.201111123LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 21 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.671091181A. Wiecek2.1012115113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113LSep 21 · 03:45M. Murawski2.001181111113M. Jadczyk1.7391113472LSep 19 · 13:45A. Daniel2.38991111113M. Jadczyk1.5311117892WSep 19 · 12:55D. Kostal3.5011751462M. Jadczyk1.289111112113WSep 19 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.221011811113G. Poliniewicz4.0012811532WSep 19 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311911113J. Stecyszyn1.83711971WSep 19 · 09:40D. Wederlich1.911071171M. Jadczyk1.8012116113WSep 19 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.007101171M. Jadczyk1.2211129113LSep 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.91411125113M. Jadczyk1.80119101192
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