TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114611811––
Michal Murawski
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Michal Murawski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 58.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 32–29 Michal Murawski Michal Murawski has won 29 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-29 in 61
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1872 vs Murawski 1847
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 60% vs Murawski 40%
Felkel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 60% vs Murawski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel -2 · Murawski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.61 / Murawski 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Felkel)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164785
Felkel1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 217 of 352
Up 2–0, closes it93% 119 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it78% 160 of 204
Murawski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel8wins
AwayMurawski2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel85.7%6 of 7
AwayMurawski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel7Murawski3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Felkel7Murawski3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S3Felkel7Murawski3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S4Felkel3Murawski2n = 5Felkel took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelMurawskiF − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.930.5+5.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelMurawskiBasisWin rate · lifetime686 / 1162 vs 1072 / 175759%61%686 / 1162 vs 1072 / 1757Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.61/Murawski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Murawski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 9 · 12:10G. Felkel351166121M. Murawski4261111143
WMar 9 · 08:15G. Felkel341112113M. Murawski2681080
WMar 9 · 05:40G. Felkel45511117113M. Murawski4211481182
WFeb 26 · 13:25G. Felkel4291111113M. Murawski35116991
WFeb 26 · 05:00G. Felkel331111113M. Murawski195590
WFeb 25 · 13:50G. Felkel331111113M. Murawski227960
WFeb 25 · 10:10G. Felkel3811511113M. Murawski30911281
WFeb 24 · 13:50G. Felkel331111113M. Murawski198740
WFeb 24 · 10:10G. Felkel44111111113M. Murawski36981361
LFeb 17 · 10:35G. Felkel2210480M. Murawski341211113
G. Felkel10
LSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:00G. Felkel1.5368111192J. Kuzmicz2.38111159113WSep 17 · 14:10K. Wloczko2.757870G. Felkel1.401111113WSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 11:15P. David1.6198100G. Felkel2.201111123LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113
M. Murawski10
LSep 21 · 04:55M. Murawski2.1011611582A. Wiecek1.67811811113WSep 21 · 03:45M. Murawski2.001181111113M. Jadczyk1.7391113472WMar 11 · 16:35M. Olejnik1.838770M. Murawski1.831111113LMar 11 · 15:30M. Murawski2.101188101J. Kosowski1.6771111123LMar 11 · 14:15M. Jadczyk1.5311129123M. Murawski2.3861011101WMar 11 · 13:00A. Grela2.252990M. Murawski1.571111113WMar 11 · 11:25P. David1.36712111182M. Murawski3.00111495113WMar 11 · 09:50M. Murawski2.251111113M. Jadczyk1.578980LMar 11 · 08:40M. Murawski1.91412731M. Olejnik1.80111011113LMar 11 · 07:15M. Murawski1.83711141162J. Kosowski1.83118166113
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