TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Josef Braun vs Adrian Wiecek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121177119111113
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 93 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 61.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 23–39 Adrian Wiecek Josef Braun has won 23 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-39 in 62
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 16 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1855 vs Wiecek 1862
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Wiecek 40%
Braun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 50% vs Wiecek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -1 · Wiecek -3
Wiecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.38 / Wiecek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13169836
Braun2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 15) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Wiecek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 123 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun3wins
AwayWiecek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun60%3 of 5
AwayWiecek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S2Braun5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Braun4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Braun1Wiecek6n = 7Wiecek took 6 of 7
S5Braun1Wiecek2n = 3Wiecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunWiecekB − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.9−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 971 vs 766 / 139352.3%55%508 / 971 vs 766 / 1393Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekBraun 2.38/Wiecek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 03:25J. Braun49111179112A. Wiecek44271111133
WSep 15 · 11:15J. Braun42116113113A. Wiecek4781191182
LSep 15 · 05:40J. Braun31125591A. Wiecek43101111113
LAug 24 · 09:00J. Braun2284100A. Wiecek341111123
LAug 3 · 14:35J. Braun4891115582A. Wiecek551191311113
WAug 3 · 06:30J. Braun3711411113A. Wiecek32811671
LJul 22 · 10:00J. Braun32911481A. Wiecek4111811113
LJul 22 · 06:55J. Braun376119111A. Wiecek4311811133
LJul 16 · 10:00J. Braun228680A. Wiecek331111113
WJul 16 · 05:40J. Braun331111113A. Wiecek176380
J. Braun10
WSep 22 · 04:10M. Murawski1.73611521J. Braun2.0011711113LSep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.2011911113J. Braun1.61611961WSep 15 · 13:20T. Spanik1.67111191262J. Braun2.101391110113WSep 15 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.6781191182J. Braun2.10116113113LSep 15 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.5711711113J. Braun2.25711281WSep 15 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.73151061172J. Braun2.001312115113WSep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91581111113M. Miastowski1.8011119962WSep 15 · 06:30T. Spanik1.67411140J. Braun2.101113163LSep 15 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.67101111113J. Braun2.10125591LSep 15 · 04:55J. Braun1.73115581K. Strowski2.0031111113
A. Wiecek10
LSep 21 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.38981131M. Jadczyk1.5311119113LSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113LSep 21 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.618121171J. Kuzmicz2.2011145113WSep 21 · 10:00M. Murawski1.91911591A. Wiecek1.8011911113WSep 21 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.57141011123D. Michna2.2512129101WSep 21 · 08:30G. Felkel2.001171071A. Wiecek1.7391112113LSep 21 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.67911111152J. Kuzmicz2.10118135113WSep 21 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.671091181A. Wiecek2.1012115113LSep 15 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.6781191182J. Braun2.10116113113WSep 15 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.67101111113J. Braun2.10125591
Upcoming Matches
J. Braun
Sep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.75G. Felkel1.40—Sep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 22 · 07:45J. Braun1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 22 · 09:00J. Braun2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 22 · 10:25J. Braun2.25A. Wiecek1.57—Sep 22 · 11:15J. Braun2.75G. Felkel1.40—Sep 22 · 13:20J. Braun1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 22 · 14:10J. Braun1.57K. Kolodziej2.25—
A. Wiecek
Sep 22 · 06:05A. Wiecek1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80G. Felkel1.91—Sep 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.83M. Murawski1.83—Sep 22 · 09:40A. Wiecek1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—Sep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.57J. Braun2.25—Sep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 22 · 12:55A. Wiecek1.73J. Kosowski2.00—Sep 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.80G. Felkel1.91—
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