TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128871
Played Sep 15Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115115119––
Josef Braun
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:50 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 56.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 36–22 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 22 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-22 in 58
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 14 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1885 vs Braun 1877
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 40% vs Braun 20%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 50% vs Braun 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek +1 · Braun -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.67 / Braun 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128871
Wiecek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 180 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it95% 72 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 132 of 163
Braun2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek7wins
AwayBraun3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek85.7%6 of 7
AwayBraun66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek7Braun3n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S2Wiecek4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Wiecek3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S4Wiecek5Braun3n = 8Wiecek took 5 of 8
S5Wiecek4Braun0n = 4Wiecek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekBraunW − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.3+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1404 vs 514 / 97854.9%52.6%771 / 1404 vs 514 / 978Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.67/Braun 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 14:35A. Wiecek551191311113J. Braun4891115582
LAug 3 · 06:30A. Wiecek32811671J. Braun3711411113
WJul 22 · 10:00A. Wiecek4111811113J. Braun32911481
WJul 22 · 06:55A. Wiecek4311811133J. Braun376119111
WJul 16 · 10:00A. Wiecek331111113J. Braun228680
LJul 16 · 05:40A. Wiecek176380J. Braun331111113
WJul 7 · 09:20A. Wiecek521114124113J. Braun54812141192
WJul 7 · 05:40A. Wiecek45411811113J. Braun4311711592
LJul 1 · 12:05A. Wiecek4211121091J. Braun4581412113
WJul 1 · 06:05A. Wiecek54177811113J. Braun52151111782
A. Wiecek10
WSep 15 · 04:10A. Wiecek2.0011815113T. Spanik1.736111361LSep 15 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.678131091M. Miastowski2.10111112113LSep 14 · 14:35A. Wiecek2.20118712122T. Spanik1.619111110143LSep 14 · 12:55A. Wiecek2.3838130M. Jadczyk1.531111153WSep 14 · 11:40A. Wiecek1.6191214113K. Strowski2.2011101291LSep 14 · 10:00A. Wiecek1.9141111662K. Petas1.80119811113WSep 14 · 09:00A. Wiecek1.44129811113K. Wloczko2.63101111962LSep 14 · 08:05A. Wiecek1.44710100K. Wloczko2.631112123WSep 14 · 06:30T. Spanik1.806111091A. Wiecek1.9111512113WSep 14 · 05:40K. Petas1.911011791A. Wiecek1.8012611113
J. Braun10
WSep 15 · 06:30T. Spanik1.67411140J. Braun2.101113163LSep 15 · 04:55J. Braun1.73115581K. Strowski2.0031111113LSep 15 · 03:45J. Braun2.00114111062M. Olejnik1.73911612113WSep 12 · 14:35J. Braun2.101111113K. Petas1.675820LSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113LSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek
J. Braun
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.