TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128966
Played Sep 15Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1194111161012611
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 54.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 17–29 Martin Olejnik Josef Braun has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-29 in 46
Olejnik
Correct
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1921 vs Olejnik 1853
Braun
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 40% vs Olejnik 60%
Olejnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Olejnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +1 · Olejnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Olejnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.00 / Olejnik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128966
Braun2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Olejnik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 180 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it85% 134 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayOlejnik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOlejnik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun42.9%3 of 7
AwayOlejnik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun7Olejnik3n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S2Braun6Olejnik4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Braun4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S4Braun4Olejnik5n = 9Olejnik took 5 of 9
S5Braun1Olejnik4n = 5Olejnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunOlejnikB − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.3−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 976 vs 449 / 82052.7%54.8%514 / 976 vs 449 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikBraun 2.00/Olejnik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 10 · 03:45J. Braun42111011462M. Olejnik47912411113
LJul 7 · 14:35J. Braun311110731M. Olejnik4281211113
LJul 7 · 03:45J. Braun4311119932M. Olejnik44741111113
LJul 3 · 03:45J. Braun49131187102M. Olejnik531181111123
WJul 1 · 14:35J. Braun46711611113M. Olejnik4311711592
WJul 1 · 03:45J. Braun4511911143M. Olejnik343118121
WApr 28 · 12:50J. Braun331111113M. Olejnik146530
LApr 28 · 06:40J. Braun4176121152M. Olejnik521111109113
LApr 18 · 14:50J. Braun33911761M. Olejnik4211911113
WApr 18 · 09:35J. Braun3911116113M. Olejnik32781161
J. Braun10
WSep 12 · 14:35J. Braun2.101111113K. Petas1.675820LSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113LSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162
M. Olejnik10
LSep 15 · 04:30M. Olejnik1.50911891M. Miastowski2.5011611113WSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102LSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691LSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781WSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562WSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351LSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102LSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113WSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Braun
Sep 15 · 05:40J. Braun2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 15 · 06:30J. Braun2.20T. Spanik1.61—Sep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91M. Miastowski1.80—Sep 15 · 09:00J. Braun2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 15 · 10:25J. Braun2.25M. Jadczyk1.57—Sep 15 · 11:15J. Braun2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 15 · 13:20J. Braun2.20T. Spanik1.61—Sep 15 · 14:10J. Braun1.73K. Strowski2.00—
M. Olejnik
Sep 15 · 06:05M. Olejnik1.36K. Strowski3.00—Sep 15 · 06:55M. Olejnik1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 15 · 07:45M. Olejnik1.61T. Spanik2.20—Sep 15 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.73J. Braun2.00—Sep 15 · 10:00M. Olejnik1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 15 · 11:40M. Olejnik1.36K. Strowski3.00—Sep 15 · 12:55M. Olejnik2.00M. Jadczyk1.73—Sep 15 · 14:35M. Olejnik1.67T. Spanik2.10—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.