TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125326
Played Sep 14Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012116711911––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 69–56 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 56 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-56 in 125
Petas
Wrong
gap of 13 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1884 vs Wiecek 1926
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 40% vs Wiecek 60%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 50% vs Wiecek 70%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -3 · Wiecek +1
Petas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.91 / Wiecek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiecek)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13125326
Petas1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 113 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Wiecek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 179 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it81% 133 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas4wins
AwayWiecek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas100%3 of 3
AwayWiecek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas3Wiecek7n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S2Petas5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Petas3Wiecek7n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S4Petas3Wiecek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasWiecekP − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.438.2−3.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime707 / 1334 vs 767 / 139553%55%707 / 1334 vs 767 / 1395Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekPetas 1.91/Wiecek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 3 · 14:00K. Petas47611613113A. Wiecek50119111182
LJun 3 · 08:45K. Petas45101112121A. Wiecek4912914143
LJun 2 · 11:10K. Petas361111861A. Wiecek4213711113
LJun 2 · 08:00K. Petas238780A. Wiecek331111113
WJun 1 · 12:00K. Petas44111011123A. Wiecek409129101
WJun 1 · 09:10K. Petas361114113A. Wiecek2651290
LMay 27 · 10:25K. Petas248790A. Wiecek331111113
LMay 19 · 10:25K. Petas34911681A. Wiecek3811511113
LMay 19 · 05:05K. Petas187470A. Wiecek331111113
WMay 18 · 10:00K. Petas3711311123A. Wiecek389118101
K. Petas10
LSep 14 · 04:10K. Petas2.0091080T. Spanik1.731112113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Petas1.7391191172K. Wloczko2.00119119113LSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152WSep 13 · 13:20S. Dosz1.9181151182K. Petas1.80119119113WSep 13 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7510840K. Petas1.251211113WSep 13 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.67111011872K. Petas2.10812911113WSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113LSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941WSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113LSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781
A. Wiecek10
WSep 14 · 04:55A. Wiecek1.53911116113K. Strowski2.3811691182LSep 14 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.38121351182M. Jadczyk1.531411117113WSep 9 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.0011134113M. Jadczyk1.739111171WSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771LSep 9 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.739117121G. Felkel2.0011711143WSep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10411411112A. Wiecek1.67114119133WSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162WSep 9 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.6191111113D. Michna2.20118591LSep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.8396121162A. Grela1.831111108113
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