TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124240
Played Sep 14Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119911119711
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 56.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 45–32 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 32 of their 77 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Petas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-32 in 77
Petas
Wrong
gap of 13 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1944 vs Wloczko 1878
Petas
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 80% vs Wloczko 40%
Petas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 70% vs Wloczko 50%
Petas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -1 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.73 / Wloczko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Petas)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13124240
Petas1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 174 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it95% 96 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it75% 135 of 180
Wloczko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 142 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back18% 35 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas57.1%4 of 7
AwayWloczko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas7Wloczko3n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S2Petas5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Petas6Wloczko4n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S4Petas3Wloczko4n = 7Wloczko took 4 of 7
S5Petas1Wloczko3n = 4Wloczko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasWloczkoP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.2+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime707 / 1333 vs 950 / 181653%52.3%707 / 1333 vs 950 / 1816Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.73/Wloczko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas3851111113K. Wloczko32117861
LAug 31 · 07:20K. Petas4411412982K. Wloczko507111011113
LAug 19 · 08:05K. Petas461110311112K. Wloczko52912117133
WJul 30 · 09:45K. Petas4311129113K. Wloczko377101191
LJun 29 · 08:30K. Petas541381112102K. Wloczko521111414123
WJun 27 · 11:15K. Petas341111123K. Wloczko1734100
WJun 26 · 04:30K. Petas49111179113K. Wloczko3793111132
LJun 21 · 13:20K. Petas205960K. Wloczko331111113
LJun 21 · 10:50K. Petas4051111131K. Wloczko4511136153
WJun 21 · 05:15K. Petas331111113K. Wloczko178540
K. Petas10
LSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152WSep 13 · 13:20S. Dosz1.9181151182K. Petas1.80119119113WSep 13 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7510840K. Petas1.251211113WSep 13 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.67111011872K. Petas2.10812911113WSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113LSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941WSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113LSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781WSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113LSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113WSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113LSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562LSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113LSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181
Upcoming Matches
K. Petas
Sep 14 · 04:10K. Petas2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 14 · 05:40K. Petas1.91A. Wiecek1.80—Sep 14 · 06:55K. Petas2.20M. Jadczyk1.61—Sep 14 · 08:30K. Petas1.61K. Strowski2.20—Sep 14 · 09:20K. Petas2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 14 · 10:00K. Petas1.91A. Wiecek1.80—Sep 14 · 11:15K. Petas1.61K. Wloczko2.20—Sep 14 · 12:30K. Petas1.61K. Strowski2.20—Sep 14 · 13:45K. Petas2.20M. Jadczyk1.61—
K. Wloczko
Sep 14 · 04:30K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 14 · 05:15K. Wloczko2.10T. Spanik1.67—Sep 14 · 07:20K. Wloczko1.80K. Strowski1.91—Sep 14 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.63A. Wiecek1.44—Sep 14 · 09:00K. Wloczko2.63A. Wiecek1.44—Sep 14 · 10:25K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 14 · 11:15K. Wloczko2.20K. Petas1.61—Sep 14 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.10T. Spanik1.67—Sep 14 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.80K. Strowski1.91—
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