TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Felkel vs Krystian Kolodziej 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 62.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 15–8 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Felkel
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1926 vs Kolodziej 1799
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 80% vs Kolodziej 20%
Felkel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 80% vs Kolodziej 30%
Felkel
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +3 · Kolodziej -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.53 / Kolodziej 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Felkel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13169738
Felkel1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 222 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it93% 124 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it79% 165 of 208
Kolodziej2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 64 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel5wins
AwayKolodziej5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel50%3 of 6
AwayKolodziej33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel6Kolodziej3n = 9Felkel took 6 of 9
S2Felkel3Kolodziej6n = 9Kolodziej took 6 of 9
S3Felkel6Kolodziej3n = 9Felkel took 6 of 9
S4Felkel4Kolodziej2n = 6Felkel took 4 of 6
S5Felkel1Kolodziej2n = 3Kolodziej took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelKolodziejF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match39.036.0+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime691 / 1171 vs 1278 / 189759%67.4%691 / 1171 vs 1278 / 1897Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.53/Kolodziej 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 9 · 14:10G. Felkel2688100K. Kolodziej341111123
WAug 27 · 13:20G. Felkel341211113K. Kolodziej2110560
LAug 13 · 10:25G. Felkel4712781192K. Kolodziej481011115113
WJul 29 · 09:00G. Felkel4111811113K. Kolodziej34911861
WJul 24 · 13:45G. Felkel331111113K. Kolodziej199460
LJul 23 · 10:50G. Felkel521151115102K. Kolodziej57911817123
WJul 13 · 09:20G. Felkel45101311113K. Kolodziej351211841
WJul 12 · 14:10G. Felkel49791111113K. Kolodziej3511114272
LJul 8 · 11:40G. Felkel24114721K. Kolodziej4181111113
G. Felkel10
WSep 22 · 11:15G. Felkel1.361114113J. Braun3.0091260WSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113WSep 22 · 09:20G. Felkel2.00118911113D. Michna1.7381111792LSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153LSep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.7591112113G. Felkel1.401171081WSep 22 · 04:30D. Michna1.805101161G. Felkel1.9111125113WSep 22 · 03:00M. Murawski2.006830G. Felkel1.731111113WSep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.636670WSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 22 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.331111113K. Kolodziej3.256390LSep 22 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.1071210151D. Michna1.67111012173LSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113LSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102WSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392
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