TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Felkel vs Josef Braun 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191412116––––
Josef Braun
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 63 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 69.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 31–8 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 8 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-8 in 39
Felkel
Correct
gap of 23 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1914 vs Braun 1868
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 60% vs Braun 40%
Felkel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 80% vs Braun 50%
Felkel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +2 · Braun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.36 / Braun 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Felkel)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13169562
Felkel1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 222 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it93% 124 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it79% 165 of 208
Braun3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel5wins
AwayBraun5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel66.7%4 of 6
AwayBraun75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel6Braun4n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Felkel5Braun5n = 10split evenly
S3Felkel4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S4Felkel3Braun3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelBraunF − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.632.0+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime691 / 1171 vs 511 / 97759%52.3%691 / 1171 vs 511 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.36/Braun 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 05:15G. Felkel361171081J. Braun4391112113
WAug 13 · 13:20G. Felkel4011117113J. Braun21251131
LAug 3 · 13:20G. Felkel31116771J. Braun3961111113
WAug 3 · 08:05G. Felkel331111113J. Braun165560
LJul 30 · 06:30G. Felkel258890J. Braun331111113
LJul 13 · 04:10G. Felkel269980J. Braun331111113
WMay 13 · 14:30G. Felkel331111113J. Braun177550
WApr 25 · 10:25G. Felkel43115511113J. Braun4481111862
WApr 25 · 08:00G. Felkel4291111113J. Braun25114191
LApr 15 · 14:05G. Felkel4771111992J. Braun49118811113
G. Felkel10
WSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113WSep 22 · 09:20G. Felkel2.00118911113D. Michna1.7381111792LSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153LSep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.7591112113G. Felkel1.401171081WSep 22 · 04:30D. Michna1.805101161G. Felkel1.9111125113WSep 22 · 03:00M. Murawski2.006830G. Felkel1.731111113WSep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.636670WSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113WSep 21 · 11:40M. Murawski2.202670G. Felkel1.611111113
J. Braun10
LSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:00J. Kosowski1.6161161192J. Braun2.20116114113LSep 22 · 07:45J. Braun1.7366100D. Michna2.001111123LSep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.209640J. Kosowski1.611111113WSep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.7591112113G. Felkel1.401171081WSep 22 · 04:10M. Murawski1.73611521J. Braun2.0011711113LSep 22 · 03:25J. Braun2.38111179112A. Wiecek1.53271111133LSep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.2011911113J. Braun1.61611961WSep 15 · 13:20T. Spanik1.67111191262J. Braun2.101391110113WSep 15 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.6781191182J. Braun2.10116113113
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