TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711711117116711
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 16–16 Jaromir Cernik Dead even across their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Madle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.53 / Cernik 2.38
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Madle)-5.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13168551
Madle1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 60 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Cernik2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 50 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle5wins
AwayCernik5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle60%3 of 5
AwayCernik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle5Cernik5n = 10split evenly
S2Madle6Cernik4n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S3Madle7Cernik3n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S4Madle3Cernik4n = 7Cernik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleCernikM − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.4+2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 545 vs 366 / 80147.3%45.7%258 / 545 vs 366 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.53/Cernik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle331111113J. Cernik196490
LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle31981131J. Cernik4111118113
WJun 2 · 08:59L. Madle4491113113J. Cernik381171191
LJun 2 · 07:00L. Madle26117531J. Cernik3741111113
WMay 18 · 07:30L. Madle44101111123J. Cernik331238101
WMay 7 · 06:00L. Madle371111153J. Cernik2575130
LMay 4 · 07:00L. Madle419911121J. Cernik4011114143
WDec 24 · 08:00L. Madle331111113J. Cernik218580
LOct 28 · 10:30L. Madle3712341172J. Cernik511011118113
LOct 28 · 08:00L. Madle389111081J. Cernik3911512113
L. Madle10
WSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113LSep 21 · 06:00J. Srba2.2512139113L. Madle1.5710111171WSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272WSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113LSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111WSep 16 · 02:00D. Mutl1.579150L. Madle2.251111113LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113
J. Cernik10
LSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:30J. Cernik2.00115581J. Srba1.7371111113LSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380WSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113LSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672WSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik2.5071111113M. Syroha1.50116871LSep 20 · 10:30V. Stach1.531111113J. Cernik2.385760LSep 20 · 08:58J. Cernik1.73511691J. Hyrsl2.0011411113LSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113
Upcoming Matches
L. Madle
Nothing scheduled
J. Cernik
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