TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161171012711711
Jaromir Cernik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 64.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 2–4 Jaromir Cernik Jiri Hyrsl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Cernik
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1072 vs Cernik 1186
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 20% vs Cernik 60%
Cernik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 40% vs Cernik 70%
Cernik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl -3 · Cernik -1
Hyrsl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 1.83 / Cernik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cernik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159404
Hyrsl1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Cernik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHyrsl2wins
AwayCernik4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderCernik leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyrsln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCernik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyrsl2Cernik4n = 6Cernik took 4 of 6
S2Hyrsl5Cernik1n = 6Hyrsl took 5 of 6
S3Hyrsl3Cernik3n = 6split evenly
S4Hyrsl2Cernik3n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHyrslCernikH − CBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.540.0−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 126 vs 364 / 79239.7%46%50 / 126 vs 364 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikHyrsl 1.83/Cernik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl46111110772J. Cernik47671211113
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Hyrsl4961691262J. Cernik5711141110113
LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl26331191J. Cernik3911116113
WMay 30 · 08:00J. Hyrsl4271111133J. Cernik341157111
WMar 22 · 07:30J. Hyrsl331111113J. Cernik237880
LFeb 1 · 24:00J. Hyrsl29911271J. Cernik4011711113
J. Hyrsl10
LSep 20 · 06:00V. Stach1.80111199113J. Hyrsl1.9194111152LSep 19 · 08:59L. Novotny1.5781111113J. Hyrsl2.25118451LSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162LSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980LSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181
J. Cernik10
LSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101LSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113WSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Cernik1.7311119113M. Marjan2.00891191LSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571WSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141WSep 18 · 09:12J. Cernik1.831113133M. Marjan1.83911110WSep 18 · 08:30L. Novotny2.1061381172J. Cernik1.671111115113LSep 18 · 07:30J. Cernik3.001189141M. Vaclavik1.3681111163WSep 18 · 06:30M. Marjan1.733711111J. Cernik2.0011117133
Upcoming Matches
J. Hyrsl
Nothing scheduled
J. Cernik
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