TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153782
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118114411911116
Milan Vrabec
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Hyrsl to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Hyrsl at 66.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 7–1 Milan Vrabec Milan Vrabec has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hyrsl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Hyrsl
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1107 vs Vrabec 1159
Vrabec
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 40% vs Vrabec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 40% vs Vrabec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl -2 · Vrabec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hyrsl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 1.44 / Vrabec 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Hyrsl)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153782
Hyrsl1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 20 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Vrabec2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 27 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHyrsl7wins
AwayVrabec1wins
2 of 8 to a deciderHyrsl leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyrsl100%7 of 7
AwayVrabecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyrsl7Vrabec1n = 8Hyrsl took 7 of 8
S2Hyrsl6Vrabec2n = 8Hyrsl took 6 of 8
S3Hyrsl3Vrabec5n = 8Vrabec took 5 of 8
S4Hyrsl3Vrabec1n = 4Hyrsl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHyrslVrabecH − VBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match38.830.9+7.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 122 vs 175 / 35041%50%50 / 122 vs 175 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyrslHyrsl 1.44/Vrabec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Hyrsl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hyrsl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl46111149113M. Vrabec4084111162
LAug 14 · 14:00J. Hyrsl227780M. Vrabec331111113
WMay 31 · 07:00J. Hyrsl361411113M. Vrabec2612680
WMay 30 · 09:30J. Hyrsl331111113M. Vrabec185490
WMay 30 · 06:00J. Hyrsl51119911113M. Vrabec4141111872
WMay 17 · 08:30J. Hyrsl45111112113M. Vrabec30731461
WMay 3 · 08:00J. Hyrsl331111113M. Vrabec225890
WApr 19 · 08:00J. Hyrsl44111210113M. Vrabec378101271
J. Hyrsl10
LSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980LSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262
M. Vrabec10
LSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 14 · 09:30J. Srba1.181111113M. Vrabec4.058720WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113LSep 14 · 06:00J. Srba1.2081111113M. Vrabec4.33118981LSep 13 · 13:30M. Vrabec2.20611110M. Syroha1.601113133WSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:30M. Vrabec3.00741113113M. Syroha1.36111191152WSep 13 · 10:30V. Stach1.441091271M. Vrabec2.63121110113
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