TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13158589
Played Sep 19Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118114115––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5
69 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 4–1 Jiri Hyrsl Jiri Hyrsl has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Novotny beat Hyrsl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.57 / Hyrsl 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Novotny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158589
Novotny1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 47 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Hyrsl2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 14 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNovotny4wins
AwayHyrsl1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderNovotny leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny66.7%2 of 3
AwayHyrsln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny3Hyrsl2n = 5Novotny took 3 of 5
S2Novotny2Hyrsl3n = 5Hyrsl took 3 of 5
S3Novotny3Hyrsl2n = 5Novotny took 3 of 5
S4Novotny5Hyrsl0n = 5Novotny took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricNovotnyHyrslN − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match42.236.4+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 383 vs 50 / 12349.6%40.7%190 / 383 vs 50 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.57/Hyrsl 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 19 · 08:30L. Novotny4181111113J. Hyrsl29114771
LMay 31 · 09:30L. Novotny4111651182J. Hyrsl51911119113
WMay 31 · 06:00L. Novotny50981111113J. Hyrsl4011116752
WApr 19 · 09:29L. Novotny4211119113J. Hyrsl32671181
WApr 19 · 06:00L. Novotny3711411113J. Hyrsl30811471
L. Novotny10
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113LSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113LSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:30J. Strnad2.206780L. Novotny1.611111113WSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571LSep 18 · 10:30M. Marjan2.0212117113L. Novotny1.701071181WSep 18 · 09:28L. Novotny2.3811133123M. Vaclavik1.5351111101LSep 18 · 08:30L. Novotny2.1061381172J. Cernik1.671111115113WSep 18 · 07:00L. Novotny1.801111113M. Marjan1.915680
J. Hyrsl10
LSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162LSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980LSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Novotny
Nothing scheduled
J. Hyrsl
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