TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154129
Played Sep 19Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Michal Syroha
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ladislav Novotny at 50.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 0–1 Michal Syroha Ladislav Novotny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1140 vs Syroha 1268
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 40% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 50% vs Syroha 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny -2 · Syroha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 3.50 / Syroha 1.28
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Syroha)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154129
Novotny3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 38 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back34% 13 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Syroha1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNovotny0wins
AwaySyroha1wins
Syroha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricNovotnySyrohaN − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.033.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnySyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 383 vs 344 / 68249.6%50.4%190 / 383 vs 344 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaNovotny 3.50/Syroha 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny269980M. Syroha331111113
L. Novotny10
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113LSep 19 · 06:30M. Vrabec2.6391115113L. Novotny1.441171371LSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:30J. Strnad2.206780L. Novotny1.611111113WSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571LSep 18 · 10:30M. Marjan2.0212117113L. Novotny1.701071181WSep 18 · 09:28L. Novotny2.3811133123M. Vaclavik1.5351111101LSep 18 · 08:30L. Novotny2.1061381172J. Cernik1.671111115113WSep 18 · 07:00L. Novotny1.801111113M. Marjan1.915680WSep 18 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.3612611762L. Novotny3.001011311113
M. Syroha10
WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980WSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111LSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha2.00119119113D. Mutl1.7381191192LSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950LSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123WSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750
Upcoming Matches
L. Novotny
Nothing scheduled
M. Syroha
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