TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145680
Played Sep 18Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210611113711611
Ladislav Novotny
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Ladislav Novotny below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ladislav Novotny at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 1–3 Ladislav Novotny Miroslav Vaclavik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vaclavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Novotny
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1239 vs Novotny 1168
Vaclavik
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 60% vs Novotny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 60% vs Novotny 40%
Vaclavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +1 · Novotny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.36 / Novotny 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Vaclavik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145680
Vaclavik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Novotny3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back32% 12 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVaclavik1wins
AwayNovotny3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderNovotny leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik2Novotny2n = 4split evenly
S2Vaclavik0Novotny4n = 4Novotny took 4 of 4
S3Vaclavik3Novotny1n = 4Vaclavik took 3 of 4
S4Vaclavik2Novotny2n = 4split evenly
S5Vaclavik1Novotny2n = 3Novotny took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVaclavikNovotnyV − NBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.546.2−3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 191 vs 186 / 37454.5%49.7%104 / 191 vs 186 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.36/Novotny 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 18 · 06:00M. Vaclavik4212611762L. Novotny461011311113
WSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik53118914113L. Novotny50911111272
LDec 26 · 10:00M. Vaclavik31831191L. Novotny4011117113
LDec 26 · 09:00M. Vaclavik4496111172L. Novotny49111188113
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 17 · 13:30M. Vaclavik2.00121112113M. Varcl1.731041481LSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113WSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113LSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172WSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231WSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050
L. Novotny10
WSep 18 · 07:00L. Novotny1.801111113M. Marjan1.915680LSep 16 · 13:30J. Cernik1.85101111113L. Novotny1.85129251WSep 16 · 12:00L. Novotny1.531211113C. Havrda2.3810450LSep 16 · 11:30J. Cernik1.83111111113L. Novotny1.83139751WSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132WSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:00L. Novotny1.8381131192J. Cernik1.83117112113LSep 14 · 11:30D. Mutl1.6111114113L. Novotny2.20561191WSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 10 · 12:59J. Strnad2.201151015113L. Novotny1.61911121352
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.