Matej Varcl vs Miroslav Vaclavik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13140641

Played Sep 17Finished

Matej Varcl

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9114111151311117

Miroslav Vaclavik

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Miroslav Vaclavik to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMatej Varcl above · Miroslav Vaclavik below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 54.5%

93 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:55

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Vaclavik

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Varcl 1285 vs Vaclavik 1264

Varcl

Correct

both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Varcl 40% vs Vaclavik 60%

Vaclavik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Varcl 60% vs Vaclavik 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Varcl -1 · Vaclavik +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVarcl 2.00 / Vaclavik 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Vaclavik)+0.3pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13140641

Varcl2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Vaclavik1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 40 of 61

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVarclVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 36 vs 103 / 18958.3%54.5%21 / 36 vs 103 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vaclavik

Varcl 2.00/Vaclavik 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Vaclavik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Varcl won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Varcl10