TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139647
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911119118––
Ludek Madle
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 81 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 70.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 1–1 Ludek Madle Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1246 vs Madle 1120
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 40% vs Madle 20%
Vaclavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 60% vs Madle 10%
Vaclavik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik -1 · Madle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.83 / Madle 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclavik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139647
Vaclavik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Madle1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVaclavik1wins
AwayMadle1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVaclavikMadleV − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.040.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 187 vs 259 / 54654%47.4%101 / 187 vs 259 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.83/Madle 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 9 · 22:00M. Vaclavik451021111113L. Madle4612119952
LFeb 19 · 23:00M. Vaclavik1954100L. Madle341111123
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113LSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113WSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113LSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172WSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231WSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101
L. Madle10
LSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113LSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111WSep 16 · 02:00D. Mutl1.579150L. Madle2.251111113LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102LSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113LSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890
Upcoming Matches
M. Vaclavik
L. Madle
Nothing scheduled
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