TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140337
Played Sep 17Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911611911––
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 59.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1220 vs Vaclavik 1253
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 40% vs Vaclavik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 70% vs Vaclavik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski +1 · Vaclavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 2.38 / Vaclavik 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140337
Kasinski2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vaclavik1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 152 vs 102 / 18846.7%54.3%71 / 152 vs 102 / 188Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikKasinski 2.38/Vaclavik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vaclavik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113WSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113LSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172WSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231WSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kasinski
Nothing scheduled
M. Vaclavik
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