TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139520
Played Sep 17Finished
Matej Varcl
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116911711––
Zdenek Kasinski
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Varcl to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Varcl above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Matej Varcl at 54.5%
71 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Varcl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Varcl 1302 vs Kasinski 1205
Varcl
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varcl 60% vs Kasinski 40%
Varcl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varcl 60% vs Kasinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varcl +1 · Kasinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Varcl) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarcl 1.50 / Kasinski 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Varcl)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139520
Varcl1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Kasinski2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarclKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 46 vs 73 / 15958.7%45.9%27 / 46 vs 73 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarclVarcl 1.50/Kasinski 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Varcl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasinski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Varcl10
WSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113WSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861LSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113WSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113LSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720LApr 9 · 12:00M. Varcl1.361011136112J. Grohsgott3.001271111133WApr 9 · 11:30M. Lubas2.203970M. Varcl1.611111113WApr 9 · 10:00M. Varcl1.44551111113J. Svec2.6311116882
Z. Kasinski10
LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.