TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11716906
Played Apr 9Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911711––––
Matej Varcl
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Matej Varcl below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 2–2 Matej Varcl Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Varcl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varcl form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 2.20 / Varcl 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Varcl)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11716906
Lubas2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Varcl1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLubas2wins
AwayVarcl2wins
Level at 2–2.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas3Varcl1n = 4Lubas took 3 of 4
S2Lubas2Varcl2n = 4split evenly
S3Lubas2Varcl2n = 4split evenly
S4Lubas1Varcl2n = 3Varcl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLubasVarclL − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.840.5+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasVarclBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 476 vs 47 / 7446.9%63.5%223 / 476 vs 47 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarclLubas 2.20/Varcl 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Varcl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varcl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
W—M. Lubas—2M. Varcl—3
L—M. Lubas—3M. Varcl—2
L—M. Lubas—1M. Varcl—3
W—M. Lubas—0M. Varcl—3
M. Lubas10
LSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251WSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113WSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182LSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113
M. Varcl10
WSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861LSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113WSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113LSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720LApr 9 · 12:00M. Varcl1.361011136112J. Grohsgott3.001271111133WApr 9 · 10:00M. Varcl1.44551111113J. Svec2.6311116882WMar 30 · 20:59P. Berdych2.0011311772M. Varcl1.73511811113LMar 30 · 20:00M. Barta2.0014711113M. Varcl1.731211581WMar 30 · 19:00P. Berdych1.8359131162M. Varcl1.831111117113
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