TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129721
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101211914121113711
Matej Varcl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Varcl to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Matej Varcl below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 110 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Matej Varcl at 60.5%
110 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Varcl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stach 1166 vs Varcl 1369
Varcl
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 80% vs Varcl 60%
Stach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 60% vs Varcl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +3 · Varcl -1
Stach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Varcl) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.00 / Varcl 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Varcl)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129721
Stach2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 22 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Varcl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachVarclBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 136 vs 27 / 4651.5%58.7%70 / 136 vs 27 / 46Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarclStach 2.00/Varcl 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Varcl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Varcl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Stach10
WSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123WSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113WSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251WSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990LSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182WSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:30V. Stach1.441091271M. Vrabec2.63121110113
M. Varcl10
LSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720LApr 9 · 12:00M. Varcl1.361011136112J. Grohsgott3.001271111133WApr 9 · 11:30M. Lubas2.203970M. Varcl1.611111113WApr 9 · 10:00M. Varcl1.44551111113J. Svec2.6311116882WMar 30 · 20:59P. Berdych2.0011311772M. Varcl1.73511811113LMar 30 · 20:00M. Barta2.0014711113M. Varcl1.731211581WMar 30 · 19:00P. Berdych1.8359131162M. Varcl1.831111117113LMar 30 · 18:30M. Varcl1.5386121182M. Lubas2.381111106113LFeb 19 · 14:30V. Sr2.001211113M. Varcl1.7310980
Upcoming Matches
V. Stach
M. Varcl
Nothing scheduled
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