TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13136053
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11410121412115––
Miloslav Lubas
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:17 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 79 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 54.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 0–2 Miloslav Lubas Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Lubas beat Stach 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Lubas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stach 1137 vs Lubas 1264
Lubas
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 60% vs Lubas 80%
Lubas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Lubas 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +1 · Lubas +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.87 / Lubas 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lubas)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13136053
Stach1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 22 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Lubas1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStach0wins
AwayLubas2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLubas leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStachLubasS − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match48.553.5−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 134 vs 161 / 32950.8%48.9%68 / 134 vs 161 / 329Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasStach 1.87/Lubas 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 15 · 15:30V. Stach51121191182M. Lubas52149117113
LAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach4684121482M. Lubas5511111012113
V. Stach10
WSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113WSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990LSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182WSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:30V. Stach1.441091271M. Vrabec2.63121110113WSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051LSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112
M. Lubas10
WSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113WSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182LSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113
Upcoming Matches
V. Stach
M. Lubas
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.