TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11716990
Played Apr 9Finished
Matej Varcl
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101211713116111113
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMatej Varcl above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 105 set 5, 11-13
105 points played in total.
H2H Matej Varcl 2–1 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Varcl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarcl 1.36 / Grohsgott 3.00
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Varcl)-6.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11716990
Varcl1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Grohsgott3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVarcl2wins
AwayGrohsgott1wins
Varcl leads 2–1.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varcl2Grohsgott1n = 3Varcl took 2 of 3
S2Varcl3Grohsgott0n = 3Varcl took 3 of 3
S3Varcl2Grohsgott1n = 3Varcl took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVarclGrohsgottV − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.029.0+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarclGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 75 vs 841 / 171464%49.1%48 / 75 vs 841 / 1714Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarclVarcl 1.36/Grohsgott 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Varcl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
W—M. Varcl—3J. Grohsgott—0
L—M. Varcl—1J. Grohsgott—3
W—M. Varcl—0J. Grohsgott—3
M. Varcl10
WSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861LSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113WSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113LSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720WApr 9 · 11:30M. Lubas2.203970M. Varcl1.611111113WApr 9 · 10:00M. Varcl1.44551111113J. Svec2.6311116882WMar 30 · 20:59P. Berdych2.0011311772M. Varcl1.73511811113LMar 30 · 20:00M. Barta2.0014711113M. Varcl1.731211581WMar 30 · 19:00P. Berdych1.8359131162M. Varcl1.831111117113
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:00J. Grohsgott1.671111113M. Vrabec2.105780LSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720
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