TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146497
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101141214118––
Matej Varcl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Varcl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Matej Varcl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Matej Varcl at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 0–1 Matej Varcl Miroslav Vaclavik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Varcl beat Vaclavik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Varcl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1254 vs Varcl 1303
Varcl
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 60% vs Varcl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 60% vs Varcl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik -1 · Varcl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varcl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 2.00 / Varcl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Varcl)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146497
Vaclavik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 17 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Varcl1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVaclavik0wins
AwayVarcl1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVarcl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVaclavikVarclVaclavik − VarclBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.048.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikVarclBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 190 vs 23 / 3854.2%60.5%103 / 190 vs 23 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.940.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarclVaclavik 2.00/Varcl 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Varcl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 17 · 12:00M. Vaclavik45111151172M. Varcl48941113113
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113WSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113LSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172WSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231WSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113
M. Varcl10
WSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113LSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113WSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861LSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113WSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113LSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WApr 9 · 13:30M. Varcl1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.208720LApr 9 · 12:00M. Varcl1.361011136112J. Grohsgott3.001271111133WApr 9 · 11:30M. Lubas2.203970M. Varcl1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
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