TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116611116117
Jaromir Cernik
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 72.4% is still 72.4%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
72.4%
72.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 72.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 3–4 Jaromir Cernik Zdenek Kasinski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kasinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1142 vs Cernik 1155
Cernik
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 20% vs Cernik 40%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 30% vs Cernik 50%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski +1 · Cernik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.25 / Cernik 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kasinski)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160115
Kasinski1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite29% won 9 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it53% 9 of 17
Cernik3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 49 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKasinski3wins
AwayCernik4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderCernik leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasinski75%3 of 4
AwayCernik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S2Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S3Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKasinskiCernikK − CBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match30.731.4−0.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 152 vs 365 / 79645.4%45.9%69 / 152 vs 365 / 796Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.25/Cernik 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.6%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kasinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski331111113J. Cernik229670
WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski331111113J. Cernik228860
WAug 28 · 13:00Z. Kasinski341211113J. Cernik2110650
LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski47121210852J. Cernik5410101211113
LAug 17 · 13:00Z. Kasinski37891191J. Cernik3511112113
LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski93330J. Cernik331111113
LAug 15 · 08:30Z. Kasinski228950J. Cernik331111113
Z. Kasinski10
LSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982LSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970
J. Cernik10
WSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113WSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik2.5071111113M. Syroha1.50116871LSep 20 · 10:30V. Stach1.531111113J. Cernik2.385760LSep 20 · 08:58J. Cernik1.73511691J. Hyrsl2.0011411113LSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113LSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113WSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Cernik1.7311119113M. Marjan2.00891191LSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kasinski
Nothing scheduled
J. Cernik
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