TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117116––––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Stach to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 58.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 3–3 Jaromir Cernik Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Stach beat Cernik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1279 vs Cernik 1162
Stach
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 100% vs Cernik 40%
Stach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 90% vs Cernik 60%
Stach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +6 · Cernik -2
Stach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.53 / Cernik 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Stach)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160042
Stach1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 26 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Cernik2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 49 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStach3wins
AwayCernik3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach100%3 of 3
AwayCernik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach3Cernik3n = 6split evenly
S2Stach2Cernik4n = 6Cernik took 4 of 6
S3Stach3Cernik3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricStachCernikS − CBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match29.530.3−0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 133 vs 364 / 79453.4%45.8%71 / 133 vs 364 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.53/Cernik 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach4113511123J. Cernik4011118101
WAug 22 · 02:00V. Stach331111113J. Cernik157440
LAug 21 · 16:00V. Stach31810130J. Cernik381112153
WAug 15 · 10:30V. Stach331111113J. Cernik229670
LAug 15 · 06:00V. Stach123720J. Cernik331111113
LJun 28 · 07:30V. Stach2781090J. Cernik341112113
V. Stach10
LSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982WSep 20 · 09:29V. Stach1.25117711113J. Martinek3.7571111782WSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 07:30J. Martinek3.50911118102V. Stach1.28115911123WSep 20 · 06:00V. Stach1.80111199113J. Hyrsl1.9194111152WSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950WSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123LSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113WSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251
J. Cernik10
LSep 20 · 08:58J. Cernik1.73511691J. Hyrsl2.0011411113LSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113LSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113WSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Cernik1.7311119113M. Marjan2.00891191LSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571WSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141WSep 18 · 09:12J. Cernik1.831113133M. Marjan1.83911110WSep 18 · 08:30L. Novotny2.1061381172J. Cernik1.671111115113
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