TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114611911––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 4–2 Jiri Hyrsl Jiri Hyrsl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cernik beat Hyrsl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.73 / Hyrsl 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Cernik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163600
Cernik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 62 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Hyrsl2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 14 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeCernik4wins
AwayHyrsl2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderCernik leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik75%3 of 4
AwayHyrsln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik4Hyrsl2n = 6Cernik took 4 of 6
S2Cernik1Hyrsl5n = 6Hyrsl took 5 of 6
S3Cernik3Hyrsl3n = 6split evenly
S4Cernik3Hyrsl2n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricCernikHyrslC − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.037.5+2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 793 vs 50 / 12745.9%39.4%364 / 793 vs 50 / 127Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.73/Hyrsl 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyrsl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 07:00J. Cernik47671211113J. Hyrsl46111110772
WAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik5711141110113J. Hyrsl4961691262
WAug 23 · 07:00J. Cernik3911116113J. Hyrsl26331191
LMay 30 · 08:00J. Cernik341157111J. Hyrsl4271111133
LMar 22 · 07:30J. Cernik237880J. Hyrsl331111113
WFeb 1 · 24:00J. Cernik4011711113J. Hyrsl29911271
J. Cernik10
WSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113LSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113WSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Cernik1.7311119113M. Marjan2.00891191LSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571WSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141WSep 18 · 09:12J. Cernik1.831113133M. Marjan1.83911110WSep 18 · 08:30L. Novotny2.1061381172J. Cernik1.671111115113LSep 18 · 07:30J. Cernik3.001189141M. Vaclavik1.3681111163WSep 18 · 06:30M. Marjan1.733711111J. Cernik2.0011117133
J. Hyrsl10
LSep 20 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.8067111182J. Martinek1.91111168113LSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113LSep 20 · 06:00V. Stach1.80111199113J. Hyrsl1.9194111152LSep 19 · 08:59L. Novotny1.5781111113J. Hyrsl2.25118451LSep 19 · 08:30J. Hyrsl2.00114771L. Novotny1.7381111113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.44111149113M. Vrabec2.6384111162LSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980LSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
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